La escuela de los momiosRiver Plate v Atlético Tucuman
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
River Plate (Local)
Predicción 60.88%1.64momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -2.41%
Kelly -6.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.89%61.09%60.87%63.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.511.521.5870.92%66.11%65.79%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atlético Tucuman (Visitante)
Predicción 15.11%6.62momio equitativo
EV +8.51%
Ventaja +1.19%
Kelly +1.38%
Crecimiento +0.117%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.16%14.97%15.16%16.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.256.257.1818.52%16.00%16.00%13.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.01%4.17momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.323%
Kelly -0.427%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.99%23.93%23.97%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.833.864.1130.30%26.09%25.91%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.85%EV -9.90%E -6.69%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 7.18I 13.93%NM 13.16%EV +8.51%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.117% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.99%EV -1.33%E -0.323%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.68%E -5.79%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +5.79%E +0.827%K +0.965%G +0.056% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -9.90%E -6.69%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +5.79%E +0.827%K +0.965%G +0.056% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 21:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.01%EV -8.07%E -5.35%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.79%EV +4.28%E +0.620%K +0.725%G +0.031% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -1.57%E -0.382%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.01%EV -8.07%E -5.35%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.79%EV +4.28%E +0.620%K +0.725%G +0.031% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -1.57%E -0.382%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.01%EV -8.07%E -5.35%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.79%EV +4.28%E +0.620%K +0.725%G +0.031% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -1.57%E -0.382%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.81%EV -3.81%E -2.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.69I 14.95%NM 14.36%EV +1.10%E +0.165%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.83%EV -7.09%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -3.97%E -0.992%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.28%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.28%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.09%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 21:00 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 21:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.33%E -8.57%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -5.64%E -3.64%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.97%EV -4.79%E -0.760%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -5.64%E -3.64%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.97%EV -4.79%E -0.760%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -9.29%E -6.23%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -9.29%E -6.23%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.26%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.41%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.33%EV -12.33%E -8.57%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.13%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -6.30%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -8.29%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.64%E -3.64%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -3.97%E -0.992%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.03%E -3.22%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 21:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.68%EV -14.16%E -10.04%K -34.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.49%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -12.37%E -3.39%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.50%EV -9.90%E -6.69%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -10.83%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.33%EV -11.65%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.74%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.13%EV -10.83%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -13.10%E -2.28%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.64%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -13.10%E -2.28%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.68%E -5.79%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -13.86%E -2.43%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -8.68%E -5.79%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -16.88%E -3.07%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -20.77%E -6.29%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-03 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.31%EV -18.39%E -3.41%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.87% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.16% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.72% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 21:26 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.09% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.61% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.30% | 2.9% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |