مدرسة الاحتمالاتRiver Plate v Atlético Tucuman
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
River Plate (المضيف)
التنبؤ 60.88%1.64السعر العادل
EV -3.81%
الأفضلية -2.41%
Kelly -6.57%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.58
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.89%61.09%60.87%63.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.411.511.521.5870.92%66.11%65.79%63.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Atlético Tucuman (الضيف)
التنبؤ 15.11%6.62السعر العادل
EV +8.51%
الأفضلية +1.19%
Kelly +1.38%
النمو +0.117%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.18
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.16%14.97%15.16%16.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.406.256.257.1818.52%16.00%16.00%13.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 24.01%4.17السعر العادل
EV -1.33%
الأفضلية -0.323%
Kelly -0.427%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.11
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.99%23.93%23.97%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.833.864.1130.30%26.09%25.91%24.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (38 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.85%EV -9.90%E -6.69%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 7.18I 13.93%NM 13.16%EV +8.51%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.117% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.99%EV -1.33%E -0.323%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.68%E -5.79%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +5.79%E +0.827%K +0.965%G +0.056% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -9.90%E -6.69%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +5.79%E +0.827%K +0.965%G +0.056% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 21:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.01%EV -8.07%E -5.35%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.79%EV +4.28%E +0.620%K +0.725%G +0.031% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -1.57%E -0.382%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.01%EV -8.07%E -5.35%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.79%EV +4.28%E +0.620%K +0.725%G +0.031% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -1.57%E -0.382%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.01%EV -8.07%E -5.35%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.79%EV +4.28%E +0.620%K +0.725%G +0.031% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -1.57%E -0.382%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.81%EV -3.81%E -2.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.69I 14.95%NM 14.36%EV +1.10%E +0.165%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.83%EV -7.09%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -3.97%E -0.992%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.28%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.28%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.09%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 21:00 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 21:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.33%E -8.57%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -5.64%E -3.64%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.97%EV -4.79%E -0.760%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -5.64%E -3.64%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.97%EV -4.79%E -0.760%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -9.29%E -6.23%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -9.29%E -6.23%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.26%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.41%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.33%EV -12.33%E -8.57%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.13%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -6.30%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -8.29%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.64%E -3.64%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -3.97%E -0.992%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.03%E -3.22%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 21:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.68%EV -14.16%E -10.04%K -34.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.49%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -12.37%E -3.39%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.50%EV -9.90%E -6.69%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -10.83%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.33%EV -11.65%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.74%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.13%EV -10.83%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -13.10%E -2.28%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.64%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -13.10%E -2.28%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.68%E -5.79%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -13.86%E -2.43%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -8.68%E -5.79%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -16.88%E -3.07%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -20.77%E -6.29%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-03 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.31%EV -18.39%E -3.41%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.87% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.16% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.72% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 21:26 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.09% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.61% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.30% | 2.9% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |