Language:English
River Plate v Atlético Huracán
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
River Plate (Local)
Prediction 61.98%1.61fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -7.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.35%61.90%61.94%63.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.491.501.5570.92%67.00%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlético Huracán (Visit)
Prediction 13.28%7.53fair odd
EV +13.59%
Edge +1.59%
Kelly +1.80%
Growth +0.244%
assuming max odds 8.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.22%13.35%13.32%15.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.057.008.5516.67%14.18%14.29%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.74%4.04fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.263%
Kelly -0.351%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%24.75%24.74%26.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.733.754.0028.99%26.84%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: River Plate (Local): 61.98%; Atlético Huracán (Visit): 13.28%; Draw: 24.74%. For Atlético Huracán (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.53. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.28%EV -4.55%E -2.96%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.22%EV +13.59%E +1.59%K +1.80%G +0.244% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -10.45%E -2.89%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 21:52 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.07%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 7.92I 12.63%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.659%K +0.754%G +0.039% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.74%EV -3.53%E -0.904%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.07%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 7.92I 12.63%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.659%K +0.754%G +0.039% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.74%EV -3.53%E -0.904%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.07%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 7.92I 12.63%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.659%K +0.754%G +0.039% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.74%EV -3.53%E -0.904%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.84%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.05%EV +3.62%E +0.464%K +0.533%G +0.019% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.84%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.05%EV +3.62%E +0.464%K +0.533%G +0.019% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.25%EV -3.93%E -2.54%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.64I 13.09%NM 12.63%EV +1.50%E +0.196%K +0.225%G +0.003% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.13%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.49%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -0.363%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.05%E -0.263%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.41%E -4.25%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -0.363%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.06%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -0.363%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -4.76%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.06%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -0.363%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -4.76%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 21:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -0.363%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 21:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%EV -4.35%E -0.604%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.47%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.68%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.84%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.53%E -0.904%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 20:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -6.41%E -4.25%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 21:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.42%EV -8.89%E -6.05%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 21:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.85%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-19 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.64%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV -9.66%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -4.76%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -10.33%E -1.53%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -3.53%E -0.904%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.70%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -10.33%E -1.53%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 21:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -10.33%E -1.53%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -10.33%E -1.53%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -10.33%E -1.53%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 21:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.24%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -13.65%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.42%E -3.83%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-19 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.17%EV -12.61%E -8.94%K -30.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -13.65%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-19 21:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.18%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.46%EV -13.65%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.36%EV -14.66%E -4.25%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-19 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.35%EV -4.55%E -2.96%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.87%EV -16.97%E -2.72%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.22%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.12%EV -17.63%E -2.84%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -12.18%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.53%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.39%EV -18.96%E -3.11%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.42%E -3.83%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-19 21:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.96%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -20.29%E -3.38%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-19 21:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -20.29%E -3.38%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -8.47%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.17% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-09-19 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.17% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-09-19 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.31% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-09-19 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.41% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.86% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.72% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 21:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.27% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99% | 1.3% | 2026-09-19 21:49 |