L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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River Plate v Atlético Huracán

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 22:00 UTC

Score final : River Plate 1–2 Atlético Huracán

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

River Plate (Local)

Prévision 61.98%1.61cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -7.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.35%61.90%61.94%63.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.411.491.501.5570.92%67.00%66.67%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.28%7.53cote équitable
EV +13.59%
Avantage +1.59%
Kelly +1.80%
Croissance +0.244%

avec la cote maximale 8.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.22%13.35%13.32%15.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.007.057.008.5516.67%14.18%14.29%11.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.74%4.04cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.263%
Kelly -0.351%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.81%24.75%24.74%26.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.733.754.0028.99%26.84%26.67%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : River Plate (Local) : 61.98% ; Atlético Huracán (Visiteur) : 13.28% ; Match nul : 24.74%. Pour Atlético Huracán (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.53. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.55, soit une espérance positive de +13.59%.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.28%EV -4.55%E -2.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.22%EV +13.59%E +1.59%K +1.80%G +0.244%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -10.45%E -2.89%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 21:52
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.07%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%7.92I 12.63%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.659%K +0.754%G +0.039%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.74%EV -3.53%E -0.904%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 14:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.07%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%7.92I 12.63%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.659%K +0.754%G +0.039%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.74%EV -3.53%E -0.904%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 14:01
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.07%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%7.92I 12.63%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.659%K +0.754%G +0.039%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.74%EV -3.53%E -0.904%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 13:59
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.84%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.05%EV +3.62%E +0.464%K +0.533%G +0.019%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.84%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.05%EV +3.62%E +0.464%K +0.533%G +0.019%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 21:55
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.25%EV -3.93%E -2.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.63%EV +1.50%E +0.196%K +0.225%G +0.003%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.13%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 21:55
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.49%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -0.363%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.05%E -0.263%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.41%E -4.25%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -0.363%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 21:54
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.06%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -0.363%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -4.76%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 21:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.06%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -0.363%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -4.76%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 21:49
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -0.363%E -0.048%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 21:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%EV -4.35%E -0.604%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.47%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 21:55
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.68%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.84%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 21:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.54%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.53%E -0.904%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 20:09
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -6.41%E -4.25%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 21:53
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 20:45
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 13:59
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.42%EV -8.89%E -6.05%K -18.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 21:49
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.85%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -7.01%E -1.00%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 21:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.64%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV -9.66%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -4.76%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 21:34
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.23%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.83%EV -10.33%E -1.53%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -3.53%E -0.904%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 14:01
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.70%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -10.33%E -1.53%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -10.33%E -1.53%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -10.33%E -1.53%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 21:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -10.33%E -1.53%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -9.71%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 21:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.24%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -13.65%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.42%E -3.83%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-19 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.17%EV -12.61%E -8.94%K -30.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -13.65%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 21:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.18%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.46%EV -13.65%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.36%EV -14.66%E -4.25%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-19 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.35%EV -4.55%E -2.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.87%EV -16.97%E -2.72%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 21:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.22%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.12%EV -17.63%E -2.84%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -12.18%E -3.43%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-19 21:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.53%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.39%EV -18.96%E -3.11%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -13.42%E -3.83%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-19 21:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.96%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -20.29%E -3.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.00%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 21:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -20.29%E -3.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -8.47%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 21:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.17%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-09-19 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.17%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-09-19 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.31%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-09-19 21:55
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.41%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.86%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.72%1.1%2026-09-19 21:45
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.27%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%1.3%2026-09-19 21:49