Language:English
Racing Club v Sarmiento de Junin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Racing Club (Local)
Prediction 52.67%1.90fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -5.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.79%52.88%52.62%55.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.741.741.8262.50%57.61%57.47%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sarmiento de Junin (Visit)
Prediction 20.45%4.89fair odd
EV +7.34%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.127%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.96%20.29%20.48%21.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.664.605.2524.39%21.44%21.74%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.88%3.72fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.895%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.80%26.83%26.90%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.453.6030.77%29.00%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Racing Club (Local): 52.67%; Sarmiento de Junin (Visit): 20.45%; Draw: 26.88%. For Sarmiento de Junin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.89. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -10.46%E -6.15%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.96%EV +7.34%E +1.40%K +1.73%G +0.127% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -4.56%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -10.46%E -6.15%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.96%EV +7.34%E +1.40%K +1.73%G +0.127% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -4.56%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.20%EV -12.04%E -7.21%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV +4.28%E +0.839%K +1.04%G +0.045% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 13:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.64%EV -5.19%E -2.89%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.31%EV +2.23%E +0.447%K +0.558%G +0.012% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV -4.03%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.64%EV -5.19%E -2.89%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.31%EV +2.23%E +0.447%K +0.558%G +0.012% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV -4.03%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-18 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.64%EV -5.19%E -2.89%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.31%EV +2.23%E +0.447%K +0.558%G +0.012% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV -4.03%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -6.77%E -3.83%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV +2.23%E +0.447%K +0.558%G +0.012% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -12.04%E -7.21%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +2.23%E +0.447%K +0.558%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 01:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -14.15%E -8.68%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV +0.188%E +0.038%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-18 13:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -14.15%E -8.68%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV +0.188%E +0.038%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.05%EV -4.14%E -2.27%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.91%EV -0.834%E -0.172%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.04%EV -4.03%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -9.41%E -5.47%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -0.834%E -0.172%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -9.93%E -5.81%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -1.86%E -0.387%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 13:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -15.73%E -9.83%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -1.86%E -0.387%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-18 13:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -6.77%E -3.83%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -2.88%E -0.606%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -6.25%E -3.51%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.01%EV -3.08%E -0.650%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.56%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 15:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.83%E -4.47%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.03%EV -4.92%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.76%EV -6.45%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.19%E -2.89%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -6.77%E -3.83%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -6.77%E -3.83%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 13:47 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.83%E -4.47%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -8.88%E -5.13%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.20%EV -9.41%E -5.47%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-18 13:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -10.46%E -6.15%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -5.95%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -5.19%E -2.89%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.77%E -3.83%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -8.88%E -5.13%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -7.99%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-18 13:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.19%E -2.89%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.19%E -2.89%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.22%E -0.895%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -5.19%E -2.89%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.03%E -2.28%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.83%E -4.47%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -11.47%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 13:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.20%EV -10.46%E -6.15%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.47%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.28%EV -9.93%E -5.81%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -12.08%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.93%EV -10.75%E -3.24%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.79%EV -12.04%E -7.21%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -12.08%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.57%EV -12.04%E -7.21%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -12.08%E -2.81%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -8.35%E -4.80%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -14.12%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.94%EV -9.41%E -5.47%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -16.17%E -3.94%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 13:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.49% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.49% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.49% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.49% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 13:55 |