The School of Odds

Racing Club v Gimnasia La Plata

Kickoff: 2026-07-24 22:00 UTC

Final: Racing Club 2–1 Gimnasia La Plata

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Racing Club (Local)

Prediction 52.00%1.92fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -4.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%52.13%51.97%54.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.661.781.801.8560%56%56%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Gimnasia La Plata (Visit)

Prediction 19.21%5.21fair odd
EV +6.80%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.101%

assuming max odds 5.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.26%19.15%19.22%20.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.404.864.905.5623%21%20%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.79%3.47fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.791%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.98%28.72%28.81%29.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.233.253.3833%31%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.92%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.26%EV +6.80%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.101%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.82%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 21:55
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.14%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +1.81%E +0.341%K +0.420%G +0.008%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.61%EV -2.67%E -0.791%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 21:55
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.72%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.31%EV +1.23%E +0.234%K +0.288%G +0.004%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.97%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.68%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV +0.847%E +0.161%K +0.199%G +0.002%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.95%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 21:50
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -0.113%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 21:55
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -11.09%E -6.48%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -0.113%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 21:50
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 21:39
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 21:55
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 21:45
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 21:55
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 21:55
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -4.92%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:45
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -4.92%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:45
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.50%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -5.88%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 21:44
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.64%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -5.88%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 21:55
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.64%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -5.88%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 21:55
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.78%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -5.88%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 21:40
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.88%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 21:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -5.88%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -7.80%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 21:45
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -8.76%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 21:40
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.55%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -8.76%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 21:55
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.76%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 21:49
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.46%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -8.76%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 21:55
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.35%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -9.72%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.35%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -9.72%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.63%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -9.72%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 21:55
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.95%EV -13.69%E -8.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -9.72%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-24 21:55
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 21:45
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 21:49
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -9.53%E -5.47%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 21:55
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.61%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -11.31%E -3.67%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 21:48
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.19%EV -12.65%E -7.53%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-24 21:54
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 21:55
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 21:55
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 21:55
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.69%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -15.48%E -3.52%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-24 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-07-24 21:55
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-07-24 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-07-24 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-07-24 21:50