L’École des cotes

Racing Club v Gimnasia La Plata

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-24 22:00 UTC

Score final : Racing Club 2–1 Gimnasia La Plata

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Racing Club (Local)

Prévision 52.00%1.92cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -2.06%
Kelly -4.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.67%52.13%51.97%54.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.781.801.8560.24%56.20%55.56%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gimnasia La Plata (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.21%5.21cote équitable
EV +6.80%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.49%
Croissance +0.101%

avec la cote maximale 5.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.26%19.15%19.22%20.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.864.905.5622.73%20.59%20.41%17.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.79%3.47cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -0.791%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.98%28.72%28.81%29.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.233.253.3832.79%30.96%30.77%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.92%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.26%EV +6.80%E +1.22%K +1.49%G +0.101%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.82%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 21:55
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.14%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +1.81%E +0.341%K +0.420%G +0.008%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.61%EV -2.67%E -0.791%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 21:55
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.72%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.31%EV +1.23%E +0.234%K +0.288%G +0.004%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.97%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.68%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV +0.847%E +0.161%K +0.199%G +0.002%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.95%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 21:50
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -0.113%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 21:55
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -11.09%E -6.48%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -0.113%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 21:50
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 21:39
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 21:55
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 21:45
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 21:55
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -3.95%E -0.791%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 21:55
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -4.92%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:45
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -4.92%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:45
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.50%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -5.88%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 21:44
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.64%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -5.88%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 21:55
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.64%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -5.88%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 21:55
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.78%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -5.88%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 21:40
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.88%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 21:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -5.88%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -7.80%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 21:45
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -8.76%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 21:40
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.55%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -8.76%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 21:55
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.76%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 21:49
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.46%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -8.76%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 21:55
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.35%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -9.72%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.35%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -9.72%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.63%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -9.72%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 21:55
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.95%EV -13.69%E -8.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -9.72%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-24 21:55
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 21:45
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 21:49
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -9.53%E -5.47%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 21:55
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.61%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -11.31%E -3.67%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 21:48
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.19%EV -12.65%E -7.53%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -11.64%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-24 21:54
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 21:55
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 21:55
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -7.45%E -4.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -13.56%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 21:55
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.69%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -15.48%E -3.52%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-24 21:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-07-24 21:55
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-07-24 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-07-24 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.93%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-07-24 21:50