The School of Odds

Racing Club v CA Tigre BA

2026-08-01 23:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Racing Club (Local)

Prediction 43.57%2.30fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.25%43.55%43.59%44.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.932.112.152.2151.81%47.48%46.51%45.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

CA Tigre BA (Visit)

Prediction 24.26%4.12fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -0.735%
Kelly -0.980%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.32%24.32%24.41%26.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.723.704.0030.30%26.91%27.03%25.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 32.16%3.11fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%32.13%32.00%32.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.702.862.893.0037.04%34.97%34.60%33.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.00%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -6.09%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.44%EV -5.77%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 00:50
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.02%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.37%E -2.56%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 00:45
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -2.94%E -0.735%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.78%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.94%E -0.735%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -7.37%E -2.56%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 23:35
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.51%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 21:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.51%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 21:39
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 21:40
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.37%E -2.56%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 22:40
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -13.86%E -3.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-28 01:10
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 21:35
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 23:30
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -9.95%E -3.55%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 01:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.95%E -3.55%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 22:05
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -19.93%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -11.55%E -4.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-27 21:40
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.92%EV -12.85%E -6.43%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.55%EV -9.49%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -13.16%E -4.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-27 21:39
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -12.85%E -6.43%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.55%E -4.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-27 22:05
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.71%EV -15.90%E -8.24%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.32%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.96%EV -13.16%E -4.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-27 21:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 23:40