Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Racing Club v CA Tigre BA

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 23:30 UTC

Final: Racing Club 1–3 CA Tigre BA

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Racing Club (Local)

Prediction 42.37%2.36fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.19%42.75%42.37%46.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.152.202.3051.81%46.62%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CA Tigre BA (Visit)

Prediction 25.58%3.91fair odd
EV +7.45%
Edge +1.77%
Kelly +2.33%
Growth +0.173%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.33%25.27%25.59%26.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.733.704.2029.41%26.81%27.03%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.05%3.12fair odd
EV -0.640%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.305%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.56%31.98%32.04%32.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.903.1037.04%34.41%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Racing Club (Local): 42.37%; CA Tigre BA (Visit): 25.58%; Draw: 32.05%. For CA Tigre BA (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -14.42%E -7.14%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV +7.45%E +1.77%K +2.33%G +0.173%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -0.640%E -0.206%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:20
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -14.42%E -7.14%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV +7.45%E +1.77%K +2.33%G +0.173%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -0.640%E -0.206%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:19
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -14.42%E -7.14%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV +7.45%E +1.77%K +2.33%G +0.173%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV +3.61%E +0.891%K +1.18%G +0.043%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV +3.61%E +0.891%K +1.18%G +0.043%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.42%EV -16.96%E -8.65%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV +2.33%E +0.582%K +0.777%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.42%EV -16.96%E -8.65%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV +2.33%E +0.582%K +0.777%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 23:25
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.23%EV -5.95%E -2.68%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.24%EV +1.31%E +0.330%K +0.441%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.53%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.42%EV -18.23%E -9.45%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV +1.05%E +0.266%K +0.356%G +0.004%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 23:25
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.51%E -0.392%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.79%E -0.733%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 23:14
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.79%E -0.733%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 23:14
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.25%EV -2.98%E -1.30%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.60%EV -3.30%E -0.873%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -3.52%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 23:25
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -13.15%E -6.41%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -4.07%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 23:14
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.99%EV -3.41%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -5.35%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.13%EV -4.49%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:14
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.99%EV -3.41%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -5.35%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.13%EV -4.49%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.35%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.35%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 23:25
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.35%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 23:19
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.35%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 23:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.21%EV -6.37%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.17%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 23:25
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 23:25
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 23:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 23:19
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 23:19
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.91%E -4.15%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 23:19
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.91%E -4.15%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.69%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 23:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 23:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 23:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 23:19
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -2.56%E -1.11%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -9.18%E -2.59%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 23:24
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -9.18%E -2.59%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 23:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -13.15%E -6.41%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -9.18%E -2.59%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.32%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 23:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.76%EV -9.61%E -3.41%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 23:24
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.46%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-01 23:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -8.91%E -4.15%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -11.74%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 23:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -13.02%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 23:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.35%EV -12.30%E -5.94%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -13.02%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-01 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-08-01 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-08-01 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-08-01 23:25
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.76%1.8%2026-08-01 23:25

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