Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Racing Club v CA Tigre BA

Início: 2026-08-01 23:30 UTC

Final: Racing Club 1–3 CA Tigre BA

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Racing Club (Local)

Previsão 42.37%2.36odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.19%42.75%42.37%46.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.932.152.202.3051.81%46.62%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

CA Tigre BA (Visitante)

Previsão 25.58%3.91odd justa
EV +7.45%
Vantagem +1.77%
Kelly +2.33%
Crescimento +0.173%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.33%25.27%25.59%26.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.733.704.2029.41%26.81%27.03%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 32.05%3.12odd justa
EV -0.640%
Vantagem -0.206%
Kelly -0.305%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.56%31.98%32.04%32.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.912.903.1037.04%34.41%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Racing Club (Local): 42.37%; CA Tigre BA (Visitante): 25.58%; Empate: 32.05%. Para CA Tigre BA (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.91. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.45%.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -14.42%E -7.14%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV +7.45%E +1.77%K +2.33%G +0.173%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -0.640%E -0.206%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:20
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -14.42%E -7.14%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV +7.45%E +1.77%K +2.33%G +0.173%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -0.640%E -0.206%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:19
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -14.42%E -7.14%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV +7.45%E +1.77%K +2.33%G +0.173%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV +3.61%E +0.891%K +1.18%G +0.043%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV +3.61%E +0.891%K +1.18%G +0.043%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21%EV -3.85%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 23:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.42%EV -16.96%E -8.65%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV +2.33%E +0.582%K +0.777%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.42%EV -16.96%E -8.65%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV +2.33%E +0.582%K +0.777%G +0.018%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 23:25
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.23%EV -5.95%E -2.68%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.24%EV +1.31%E +0.330%K +0.441%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.53%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.42%EV -18.23%E -9.45%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV +1.05%E +0.266%K +0.356%G +0.004%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 23:25
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.51%E -0.392%K -0.529%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.79%E -0.733%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 23:14
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.79%E -0.733%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 23:14
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.25%EV -2.98%E -1.30%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.60%EV -3.30%E -0.873%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -3.52%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 23:25
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -13.15%E -6.41%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -4.07%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 23:14
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.99%EV -3.41%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -5.35%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.13%EV -4.49%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:14
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.99%EV -3.41%E -1.49%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -5.35%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.13%EV -4.49%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.35%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.35%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 23:25
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.35%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 23:19
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.35%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 23:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.21%EV -6.37%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.17%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 23:25
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 23:25
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 23:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 23:19
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 23:19
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.91%E -4.15%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 23:19
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.91%E -4.15%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.69%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 23:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 23:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 23:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -7.90%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 23:19
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -2.56%E -1.11%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -9.18%E -2.59%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 23:24
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -9.18%E -2.59%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 23:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -13.15%E -6.41%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -9.18%E -2.59%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.32%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 23:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.76%EV -9.61%E -3.41%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 23:24
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.46%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-01 23:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -8.91%E -4.15%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -11.74%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 23:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.03%E -5.25%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -13.02%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 23:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.35%EV -12.30%E -5.94%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -13.02%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-01 23:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-08-01 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-08-01 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-08-01 23:25
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.76%1.8%2026-08-01 23:25