La scuola delle quote

Platense v Velez Sarsfield BA

Inizio: 2026-03-14 22:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Platense (Casa)

Previsione 32.61%3.07quota equa
EV -2.18%
Vantaggio -0.726%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.25%32.61%32.74%35.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.812.803.0039.22%35.58%35.71%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Velez Sarsfield BA (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.58%3.07quota equa
EV -0.314%
Vantaggio -0.103%
Kelly -0.152%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.58%32.65%32.45%34.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.832.833.0640.00%35.39%35.40%32.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 34.82%2.87quota equa
EV +0.269%
Vantaggio +0.093%
Kelly +0.143%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.11%34.74%34.82%36.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.672.702.8843.48%37.47%37.04%34.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.02%EV -10.66%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.67%EV -1.29%E -0.426%K -0.636%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.32%EV +0.269%E +0.093%K +0.143%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 21:55
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -0.776%E -0.272%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 21:55
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -0.776%E -0.272%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 21:55
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -2.52%E -0.899%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -6.42%E -2.24%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -10.41%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -2.52%E -0.899%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 16:45
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:15
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.07%E -2.48%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.41%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -13.59%E -5.13%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 21:55
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -13.67%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:15
Pinnacle2.97I 33.67%NM 32.61%EV -3.16%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV -0.314%E -0.103%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.74%EV -5.65%E -2.08%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 21:55
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 21:40
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -7.07%E -2.48%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 21:55
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:15
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 21:55
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 21:55
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 21:40
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 21:55
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -13.59%E -5.13%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 21:45
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -10.41%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -14.24%E -5.42%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-14 21:45
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -2.18%E -0.726%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -6.35%E -2.36%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 12:05
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -2.18%E -0.726%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -6.35%E -2.36%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 12:04
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -2.27%E -0.756%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 21:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -15.30%E -5.88%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 21:30
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -15.30%E -5.88%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 14:15
Marathon Bet2.86I 34.97%NM 32.64%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -4.55%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -8.44%E -3.21%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 21:55
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 32.07%EV -9.35%E -3.36%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.03%EV -14.65%E -5.59%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -8.44%E -3.21%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-14 21:31
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -4.79%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -4.87%E -1.67%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 21:35
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -4.79%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -4.87%E -1.67%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 21:34
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 21:49
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 21:34
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.33%EV -6.42%E -2.24%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.68%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 21:50
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.07%E -2.48%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 21:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 21:50
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 21:55
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -13.59%E -5.13%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -12.04%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.85%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-14 21:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -18.56%E -7.42%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-14 20:00
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 32.37%EV -16.85%E -6.61%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.75%EV -15.30%E -5.88%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.89%EV -19.92%E -8.66%K -15.33%G +0.000%21.2%2026-03-14 21:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%1.3%2026-03-14 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%1.3%2026-03-14 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%1.3%2026-03-14 21:50
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.77%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94%1.5%2026-03-14 21:55
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.75%2.1%2026-03-14 21:50
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%4.1%2026-03-14 21:50