La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Platense v Velez Sarsfield BA
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Platense (Local)
Predicción 32.61%3.07momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -0.726%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.25%32.61%32.74%35.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.812.803.0039.22%35.58%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visitante)
Predicción 32.58%3.07momio equitativo
EV -0.314%
Ventaja -0.103%
Kelly -0.152%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.58%32.65%32.45%34.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.832.833.0640.00%35.39%35.40%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 34.82%2.87momio equitativo
EV +0.269%
Ventaja +0.093%
Kelly +0.143%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.11%34.74%34.82%36.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.672.702.8843.48%37.47%37.04%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.02%EV -10.66%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.67%EV -1.29%E -0.426%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.32%EV +0.269%E +0.093%K +0.143%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -0.776%E -0.272%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -0.776%E -0.272%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -2.52%E -0.899%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -6.42%E -2.24%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -10.41%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -2.52%E -0.899%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -7.07%E -2.48%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.41%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -13.59%E -5.13%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -13.67%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.61%EV -3.16%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV -0.314%E -0.103%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.74%EV -5.65%E -2.08%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 21:40 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -7.07%E -2.48%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| BetAnything | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 21:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -13.59%E -5.13%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 21:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -10.41%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -14.24%E -5.42%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -2.18%E -0.726%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -6.35%E -2.36%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -2.18%E -0.726%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -6.35%E -2.36%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -2.27%E -0.756%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -15.30%E -5.88%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -11.96%E -4.43%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -15.30%E -5.88%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -7.74%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.64%EV -6.74%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -4.55%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -8.44%E -3.21%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.07%EV -9.35%E -3.36%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.03%EV -14.65%E -5.59%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -8.44%E -3.21%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-14 21:31 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -4.79%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -4.87%E -1.67%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 21:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -4.79%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -4.87%E -1.67%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 21:34 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 21:49 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.44%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 21:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.33%EV -6.42%E -2.24%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.68%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.07%E -2.48%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.70%E -3.11%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -8.78%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -13.59%E -5.13%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -12.04%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.85%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-14 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -10.33%E -3.76%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -18.56%E -7.42%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -12.96%E -5.18%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-14 20:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.37%EV -16.85%E -6.61%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.75%EV -15.30%E -5.88%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.89%EV -19.92%E -8.66%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 21.2% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.77% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94% | 1.5% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.75% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 21:50 |