La scuola delle quote

Platense v Gimnasia Mendoza

Inizio: 2026-04-12 18:00 UTC

Finale: Platense 1–1 Gimnasia Mendoza

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Platense (Casa)

Previsione 37.75%2.65quota equa
EV -1.46%
Vantaggio -0.561%
Kelly -0.909%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.87%37.85%37.79%45.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.392.452.6154.05%41.83%40.82%38.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gimnasia Mendoza (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.80%3.60quota equa
EV +13.99%
Vantaggio +3.41%
Kelly +4.51%
Crescita +0.631%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.90%27.79%27.75%30.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.363.384.1034.72%29.72%29.59%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 34.45%2.90quota equa
EV -0.109%
Vantaggio -0.038%
Kelly -0.057%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.95%34.36%34.46%35.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.722.712.9040.00%36.77%36.90%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -20.72%E -9.87%K -18.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +13.99%E +3.41%K +4.51%G +0.631%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -0.109%E -0.038%K -0.057%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 08:04
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -15.05%E -6.69%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV +4.26%E +1.13%K +1.55%G +0.066%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:26
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -13.17%E -5.72%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV +1.48%E +0.404%K +0.557%G +0.008%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -1.83%E -0.643%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -13.17%E -5.72%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV +1.48%E +0.404%K +0.557%G +0.008%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -1.83%E -0.643%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:30
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -13.92%E -6.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV +1.48%E +0.404%K +0.557%G +0.008%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -1.83%E -0.643%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 17:30
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -16.94%E -7.70%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -2.69%E -0.770%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:29
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -16.94%E -7.70%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -2.69%E -0.770%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.15%EV -17.70%E -8.12%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -2.69%E -0.770%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 17:29
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.17%EV -30.16%E -16.30%K -35.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -2.69%E -0.770%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-27 06:44
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.44%EV -7.88%E -3.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.95%EV -3.25%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.61%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.07%EV -1.46%E -0.561%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.13%EV -4.36%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.80%EV -4.24%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 17:30
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.52%EV -6.31%E -2.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:29
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.52%EV -6.31%E -2.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:29
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 17:30
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 17:29
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.60%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -6.03%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.89%EV -5.96%E -2.18%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.60%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -6.03%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.89%EV -5.96%E -2.18%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 17:30
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 17:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 17:29
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.28%E -4.80%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 17:29
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.65%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.28%E -4.80%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.65%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.28%E -4.80%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.65%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:29
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -12.41%E -5.35%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -9.65%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.81%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 17:29
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.16%EV -16.19%E -7.29%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -9.65%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.09%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.85%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-12 17:29
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -13.17%E -5.72%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -12.43%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 17:29
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -1.84%E -0.708%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -13.82%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:29
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -3.73%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -16.60%E -5.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 17:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -16.60%E -5.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -19.38%E -6.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.27%EV -19.93%E -6.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -13.89%E -5.55%K -9.26%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-12 17:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.42%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.30%0.5%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%1.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%1.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-04-12 17:30
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.16%2.3%2026-04-12 17:30