L’École des cotes

Platense v Gimnasia Mendoza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 18:00 UTC

Score final : Platense 1–1 Gimnasia Mendoza

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Platense (Local)

Prévision 37.75%2.65cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.561%
Kelly -0.909%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.87%37.85%37.79%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.392.452.6154.05%41.83%40.82%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.80%3.60cote équitable
EV +13.99%
Avantage +3.41%
Kelly +4.51%
Croissance +0.631%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.90%27.79%27.75%30.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.363.384.1034.72%29.72%29.59%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 34.45%2.90cote équitable
EV -0.109%
Avantage -0.038%
Kelly -0.057%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.95%34.36%34.46%35.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.722.712.9040.00%36.77%36.90%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -20.72%E -9.87%K -18.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +13.99%E +3.41%K +4.51%G +0.631%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -0.109%E -0.038%K -0.057%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 08:04
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -15.05%E -6.69%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV +4.26%E +1.13%K +1.55%G +0.066%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:26
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -13.17%E -5.72%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV +1.48%E +0.404%K +0.557%G +0.008%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -1.83%E -0.643%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -13.17%E -5.72%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV +1.48%E +0.404%K +0.557%G +0.008%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -1.83%E -0.643%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:30
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -13.92%E -6.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV +1.48%E +0.404%K +0.557%G +0.008%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -1.83%E -0.643%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 17:30
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -16.94%E -7.70%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -2.69%E -0.770%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:29
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -16.94%E -7.70%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -2.69%E -0.770%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.15%EV -17.70%E -8.12%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -2.69%E -0.770%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 17:29
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.17%EV -30.16%E -16.30%K -35.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -2.69%E -0.770%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.95%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-27 06:44
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.44%EV -7.88%E -3.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.95%EV -3.25%E -0.934%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.61%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.07%EV -1.46%E -0.561%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.13%EV -4.36%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.80%EV -4.24%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 17:30
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.52%EV -6.31%E -2.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:29
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.86%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.52%EV -6.31%E -2.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:29
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 17:30
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 17:29
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.60%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -6.03%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.89%EV -5.96%E -2.18%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.60%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -6.03%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.89%EV -5.96%E -2.18%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 17:30
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 17:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 17:29
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.28%E -4.80%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -5.28%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 17:29
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.65%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.28%E -4.80%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.65%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.28%E -4.80%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.65%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:29
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -12.41%E -5.35%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -9.65%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.81%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 17:29
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.16%EV -16.19%E -7.29%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -9.65%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.09%EV -12.16%E -4.77%K -7.85%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-12 17:29
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -13.17%E -5.72%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -12.43%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 17:29
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -1.84%E -0.708%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -13.82%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:29
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -3.73%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -16.60%E -5.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 17:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -16.60%E -5.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -19.38%E -6.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.27%EV -19.93%E -6.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -13.89%E -5.55%K -9.26%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-12 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.42%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.30%0.5%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%1.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.07%1.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-04-12 17:30
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.16%2.3%2026-04-12 17:30