语言:简体中文
Platense v Boca Juniors
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Platense (主队)
预测 18.30%5.46公平赔率
EV +6.70%
优势 +1.15%
Kelly +1.39%
增长率 +0.093%
假设最高赔率为 5.83
博彩公司预测分布
16.45%18.32%18.29%20.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.025.005.8322.22%19.91%20.00%17.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
Boca Juniors (客队)
预测 52.56%1.90公平赔率
EV -3.81%
优势 -2.08%
Kelly -4.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.83
博彩公司预测分布
50.08%52.53%52.61%53.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.771.771.8360.24%56.64%56.34%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.14%3.43公平赔率
EV -3.27%
优势 -0.984%
Kelly -1.41%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.32
博彩公司预测分布
28.35%29.15%29.10%30.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.163.173.3233.33%31.65%31.60%30.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Platense (主队)：18.30%；Boca Juniors (客队)：52.56%；平局：29.14%。 对于“Platense (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.46。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.83，对应+6.70%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.45%EV +6.70%E +1.15%K +1.39%G +0.093% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.87%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.69%EV -5.89%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV +0.660%E +0.120%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.12%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV +0.660%E +0.120%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.12%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.88%EV -1.17%E -0.217%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.04%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -3.27%E -0.984%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -1.17%E -0.217%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -1.17%E -0.217%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -1.17%E -0.217%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.09%EV -8.54%E -4.91%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 23:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -3.00%E -0.566%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.75%EV -6.97%E -3.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -3.92%E -0.746%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 23:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -3.92%E -0.746%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 00:03 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -4.83%E -0.929%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -6.66%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.35%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 00:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -6.97%E -3.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -6.97%E -3.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.55%EV -12.75%E -7.68%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.05%EV -9.41%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.86%EV -11.17%E -6.61%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -10.55%E -3.44%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -10.32%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.00%EV -6.97%E -3.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -10.32%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.02%EV -11.24%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.24%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -12.15%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -6.97%E -3.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 23:57 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -12.15%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -12.15%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -12.15%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.76%EV -12.22%E -7.32%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -11.13%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.41%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -13.98%E -2.97%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -10.65%E -6.26%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.35%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.35%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.65%EV -10.65%E -6.26%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -17.64%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 00:08 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.47% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.37% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |