Idioma:Español
Platense v Boca Juniors
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Platense (Local)
Predicción 18.30%5.46momio equitativo
EV +6.70%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.093%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.45%18.32%18.29%20.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.025.005.8322.22%19.91%20.00%17.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Boca Juniors (Visitante)
Predicción 52.56%1.90momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -4.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.08%52.53%52.61%53.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.661.771.771.8360.24%56.64%56.34%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.14%3.43momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -0.984%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.35%29.15%29.10%30.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.163.173.3233.33%31.65%31.60%30.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Platense (Local): 18.30%; Boca Juniors (Visitante): 52.56%; Empate: 29.14%. Para Platense (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.46. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.83, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.70%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.45%EV +6.70%E +1.15%K +1.39%G +0.093% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.87%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.69%EV -5.89%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV +0.660%E +0.120%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.12%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV +0.660%E +0.120%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.12%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.88%EV -1.17%E -0.217%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.04%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.08%EV -3.27%E -0.984%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -1.17%E -0.217%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -1.17%E -0.217%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -1.17%E -0.217%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.09%EV -8.54%E -4.91%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 23:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -3.00%E -0.566%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.75%EV -6.97%E -3.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -3.92%E -0.746%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 23:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -3.92%E -0.746%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 00:03 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -4.83%E -0.929%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -6.66%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.35%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 00:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -6.97%E -3.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -6.97%E -3.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -8.49%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.55%EV -12.75%E -7.68%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.05%EV -9.41%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.86%EV -11.17%E -6.61%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -10.55%E -3.44%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -10.32%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.00%EV -6.97%E -3.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -10.32%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.02%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.02%EV -11.24%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.24%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -12.15%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -6.97%E -3.94%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 23:57 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -12.15%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -12.15%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -12.15%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.76%EV -12.22%E -7.32%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -11.13%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.41%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -13.98%E -2.97%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -10.65%E -6.26%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -8.22%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.35%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.35%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -15.81%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.65%EV -10.65%E -6.26%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -12.59%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -17.64%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 00:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.47% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.37% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |