L’École des cotes

Platense v Barracas Central

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Platense (Local)

Prévision 50.81%1.97cote équitable
EV -0.929%
Avantage -0.476%
Kelly -0.978%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.77%50.68%50.87%53.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.831.851.9563.29%54.58%54.05%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barracas Central (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.88%5.59cote équitable
EV +3.14%
Avantage +0.544%
Kelly +0.658%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 5.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.64%17.98%17.89%21.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.105.055.005.7724.39%19.82%20.00%17.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.32%3.19cote équitable
EV +3.04%
Avantage +0.924%
Kelly +1.33%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 3.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.13%31.34%31.25%32.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.932.953.2938.46%34.09%33.90%30.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.87%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.96%EV -9.55%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV +3.04%E +0.924%K +1.33%G +0.040%4.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -2.91%E -0.939%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.05%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.38%EV -4.49%E -2.39%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.74%EV +3.14%E +0.544%K +0.658%G +0.021%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.88%EV -5.10%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 19:50
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.76%EV -1.44%E -0.741%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.53%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.89%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 19:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.87%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.76%EV -5.26%E -0.993%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 19:40
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.87%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.76%EV -5.26%E -0.993%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 19:40
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:40
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 19:45
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 19:45
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.85%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.18%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.89%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.84%EV +0.996%E +0.176%K +0.214%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:30
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.89%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.84%EV +0.996%E +0.176%K +0.214%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:30
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 50.89%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.84%EV +0.996%E +0.176%K +0.214%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:30
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -2.96%E -1.55%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -15.09%E -3.18%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:40
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.77%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV +0.102%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:45
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.07%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 19:45
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -3.47%E -0.643%K -0.789%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.81%EV -8.24%E -2.81%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:40
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.52%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 19:40
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 50.79%EV -8.04%E -4.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.34%EV -11.60%E -6.67%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -19.56%E -4.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.20%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.46%EV -19.73%E -12.49%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.42%EV -13.30%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.13%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%18.4%2026-02-21 19:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -1.69%E -0.306%K -0.375%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -5.50%E -2.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 19:40
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -5.50%E -2.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 19:40
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.21%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -10.74%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-21 19:55
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.93%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 19:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.93%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 19:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.77%EV -0.929%E -0.476%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -26.71%E -6.51%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 14:54
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.07%EV -12.11%E -7.00%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.43%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-21 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.38%EV -12.11%E -7.00%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.98%EV -19.56%E -4.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.64%EV -15.44%E -5.72%K -9.08%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-21 19:45
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.40%EV -15.66%E -9.44%K -23.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.43%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.18%EV -18.57%E -7.14%K -11.61%G +0.000%19.5%2026-02-21 19:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 52.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.17%0.3%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-21 19:50
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%1.6%2026-02-21 19:55