La escuela de los momios

Platense v Barracas Central

Inicio: 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

37 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Platense (Local)

Predicción 50.81%1.97momio equitativo
EV -0.929%
Ventaja -0.476%
Kelly -0.978%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.77%50.68%50.87%53.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.831.851.9563.29%54.58%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barracas Central (Visitante)

Predicción 17.88%5.59momio equitativo
EV +3.14%
Ventaja +0.544%
Kelly +0.658%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.64%17.98%17.89%21.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.105.055.005.7724.39%19.82%20.00%17.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.32%3.19momio equitativo
EV +3.04%
Ventaja +0.924%
Kelly +1.33%
Crecimiento +0.040%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.13%31.34%31.25%32.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.932.953.2938.46%34.09%33.90%30.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.87%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.96%EV -9.55%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV +3.04%E +0.924%K +1.33%G +0.040%4.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -2.91%E -0.939%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.05%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.38%EV -4.49%E -2.39%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.74%EV +3.14%E +0.544%K +0.658%G +0.021%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.88%EV -5.10%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 19:50
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.76%EV -1.44%E -0.741%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.53%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.89%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 19:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.87%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.76%EV -5.26%E -0.993%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 19:40
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.87%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.76%EV -5.26%E -0.993%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 19:40
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:40
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 19:45
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 19:45
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.85%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -15.09%E -3.18%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.89%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.84%EV +0.996%E +0.176%K +0.214%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:30
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.89%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.84%EV +0.996%E +0.176%K +0.214%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:30
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 50.89%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.84%EV +0.996%E +0.176%K +0.214%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:30
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -2.96%E -1.55%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -15.09%E -3.18%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:40
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.77%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV +0.102%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:45
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.07%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 19:45
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -3.47%E -0.643%K -0.789%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.81%EV -8.24%E -2.81%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:40
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.52%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 19:40
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 50.79%EV -8.04%E -4.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.34%EV -11.60%E -6.67%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -19.56%E -4.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.20%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.46%EV -19.73%E -12.49%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.42%EV -13.30%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.13%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%18.4%2026-02-21 19:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.03%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -1.69%E -0.306%K -0.375%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -5.50%E -2.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 19:40
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -5.50%E -2.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 19:40
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.21%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -10.74%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-21 19:55
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.93%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 19:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.93%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 19:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.77%EV -0.929%E -0.476%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -26.71%E -6.51%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 14:54
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.07%EV -12.11%E -7.00%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.43%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-21 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.38%EV -12.11%E -7.00%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.98%EV -19.56%E -4.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.64%EV -15.44%E -5.72%K -9.08%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-21 19:45
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.40%EV -15.66%E -9.44%K -23.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.43%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.18%EV -18.57%E -7.14%K -11.61%G +0.000%19.5%2026-02-21 19:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 52.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.17%0.3%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-21 19:50
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%1.6%2026-02-21 19:55