The School of Odds

Newells Old Boys v Talleres

2026-07-25 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

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Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Newells Old Boys (Local)

Prediction 34.15%2.93fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.874%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.63%34.22%34.22%35.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.752.8840%37%36%35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Talleres (Visit)

Prediction 33.20%3.01fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.353%
Kelly -0.532%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.16%33.31%33.19%34.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.752.9838%36%36%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 32.64%3.06fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.386%
Kelly +0.571%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.94%32.48%32.59%33.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.882.903.1038%35%34%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV +1.20%E +0.386%K +0.571%G +0.007%7.8%2026-07-21 10:05
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -2.07%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -2.07%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 11:20
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.07%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.07%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 11:15
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.52%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.01%E -4.96%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -2.07%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 11:20
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26%EV -5.06%E -1.82%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -6.37%E -2.26%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -2.72%E -0.912%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 13:54
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26%EV -5.06%E -1.82%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -6.37%E -2.26%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -2.72%E -0.912%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 13:55
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -3.70%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 11:15
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -12.01%E -4.53%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -3.70%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 11:20
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.91%EV -2.67%E -0.936%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -2.05%E -0.695%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 13:45
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.91%EV -2.67%E -0.936%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -2.05%E -0.695%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 13:45
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 33.91%EV -2.67%E -0.936%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -2.05%E -0.695%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 13:45
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 15:10
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 13:20
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 13:20
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 15:10
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.79%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 15:09
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -9.50%E -3.58%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 11:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -10.52%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -13.01%E -4.96%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 11:19
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 13:20
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.63%EV -1.64%E -0.570%K -0.874%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.50%EV -1.05%E -0.353%K -0.532%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.64%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 15:50
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 20:00
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 16:39
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 12:20
1xBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.64%EV -3.69%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.83%EV -4.04%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.53%EV -7.62%E -2.69%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 15:35
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 15:35
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.50%E -3.58%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 13:20
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.50%E -3.58%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -10.52%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 15:09
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 11:14
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.65%EV -5.40%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.82%EV -5.70%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.53%EV -9.25%E -3.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 15:34
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -10.18%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 13:20
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -14.62%E -5.85%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -14.62%E -5.85%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-25 15:09
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-25 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69%1.0%2026-07-25 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-07-25 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-07-25 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-07-25 15:35
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%1.6%2026-07-25 15:35