Language:English
Newells Old Boys v Talleres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newells Old Boys (Local)
Prediction 35.36%2.83fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.393%
Kelly +0.604%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.87%35.34%35.37%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.632.8641.67%38.06%37.95%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Talleres (Visit)
Prediction 32.31%3.10fair odd
EV +1.13%
Edge +0.360%
Kelly +0.529%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 3.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.65%32.35%32.28%34.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.862.883.1338.02%34.93%34.78%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.33%3.09fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.000%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.96%32.31%32.35%33.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.872.883.0037.04%34.85%34.72%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newells Old Boys (Local): 35.36%; Talleres (Visit): 32.31%; Draw: 32.33%. For Talleres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV +1.12%E +0.393%K +0.604%G +0.007% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -5.66%E -1.94%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.95%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-25 19:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.14%EV +0.062%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.54%EV -4.04%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-25 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.01%EV -2.41%E -0.874%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.68%EV -1.46%E -0.478%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-25 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.01%EV -2.41%E -0.874%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.68%EV -1.46%E -0.478%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-25 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -11.15%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -4.62%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -11.15%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -4.62%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.54%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-25 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -5.24%E -1.96%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -1.46%E -0.478%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -5.24%E -1.96%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -1.46%E -0.478%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.07%EV -5.95%E -2.24%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.73%EV -5.01%E -1.70%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -9.14%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.00%E -1.000%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -4.62%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -4.69%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -14.38%E -5.43%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -14.38%E -5.43%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.61%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.65%EV +1.13%E +0.360%K +0.529%G +0.006% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.74%EV -5.26%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -9.54%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.08%E -4.03%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-25 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -3.00%E -1.000%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 19:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.69%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 19:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.54%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -7.92%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -3.00%E -1.000%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.92%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -11.15%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -4.62%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -6.95%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.08%E -4.03%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.54%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-25 19:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.54%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.77%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -11.15%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.71%EV -8.82%E -3.13%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.54%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.70%E -4.70%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -11.15%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -12.70%E -4.70%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.72%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -14.38%E -5.43%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.26%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-25 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -15.14%E -6.31%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -11.15%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38% | 0.5% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38% | 0.5% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 0.8% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 2.0% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 3.0% | 2026-07-25 19:55 |
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