L’École des cotes

Newells Old Boys v Talleres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-25 20:00 UTC

Score final : Newells Old Boys 1–0 Talleres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Newells Old Boys (Local)

Prévision 35.36%2.83cote équitable
EV +1.12%
Avantage +0.393%
Kelly +0.604%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.87%35.34%35.37%36.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.632.632.8641.67%38.06%37.95%34.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Talleres (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.31%3.10cote équitable
EV +1.13%
Avantage +0.360%
Kelly +0.529%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.65%32.35%32.28%34.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.862.883.1338.02%34.93%34.78%31.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.33%3.09cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -1.000%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.96%32.31%32.35%33.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.872.883.0037.04%34.85%34.72%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV +1.12%E +0.393%K +0.604%G +0.007%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -5.66%E -1.94%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.95%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 19:50
BetAnything2.83I 35.34%NM 34.14%EV +0.062%E +0.022%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.54%EV -4.04%E -1.36%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 18:35
BetOnline.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 35.01%EV -2.41%E -0.874%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.68%EV -1.46%E -0.478%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 19:50
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 35.01%EV -2.41%E -0.874%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.68%EV -1.46%E -0.478%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 19:50
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -11.15%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -4.62%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 19:55
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -11.15%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -4.62%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 19:55
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.77%E -1.01%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.54%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 13:20
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 19:50
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 19:49
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -5.24%E -1.96%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -1.46%E -0.478%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:55
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -5.24%E -1.96%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -1.46%E -0.478%K -0.711%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 19:55
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.07%EV -5.95%E -2.24%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.73%EV -5.01%E -1.70%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -9.14%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 19:55
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 19:55
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.00%E -1.000%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 19:55
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -4.62%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 19:55
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -4.69%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 19:55
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -14.38%E -5.43%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 19:55
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -14.38%E -5.43%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -6.30%E -2.38%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 19:55
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.61%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.65%EV +1.13%E +0.360%K +0.529%G +0.006%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.74%EV -5.26%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 19:55
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 19:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -7.36%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -9.54%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.08%E -4.03%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -3.00%E -1.000%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 19:50
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.69%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 19:54
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 19:55
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 19:55
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.07%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.54%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:55
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -7.92%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -3.00%E -1.000%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 19:55
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.92%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 19:55
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -11.15%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -4.62%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -9.84%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -6.95%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.08%E -4.03%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 19:55
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.54%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 19:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.54%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 19:55
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.77%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -11.15%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.71%EV -8.82%E -3.13%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 19:55
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.54%E -3.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.70%E -4.70%K -7.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 19:55
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -11.61%E -4.64%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -11.15%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -12.70%E -4.70%K -7.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.72%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -14.38%E -5.43%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.26%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 19:50
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -15.14%E -6.31%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -11.15%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-25 19:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%0.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%0.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-07-25 19:55
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.63%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%2.0%2026-07-25 19:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%3.0%2026-07-25 19:55