A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Newells Old Boys v Lanus

Início: 2026-10-03 20:00 UTC

Final: Newells Old Boys 0–0 Lanus

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Newells Old Boys (Local)

Previsão 36.28%2.76odd justa
EV +1.22%
Vantagem +0.438%
Kelly +0.683%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.75%36.28%36.32%38.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.572.602.7942.55%38.94%38.46%35.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lanus (Visitante)

Previsão 31.58%3.17odd justa
EV -1.47%
Vantagem -0.470%
Kelly -0.692%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.45%31.68%31.54%33.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.892.903.1238.46%34.62%34.48%32.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 32.14%3.11odd justa
EV -3.26%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.92%32.04%32.14%32.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.882.903.0137.04%34.74%34.48%33.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Newells Old Boys (Local): 36.28%; Lanus (Visitante): 31.58%; Empate: 32.14%. Para Newells Old Boys (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.76. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.79, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.22%.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.39%EV +1.22%E +0.438%K +0.683%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.09%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-03 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -0.229%E -0.083%K -0.131%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 19:35
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -0.229%E -0.083%K -0.131%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 19:35
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -2.04%E -0.757%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-03 19:35
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.27%EV -3.13%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -3.05%E -0.992%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.18%EV -3.26%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-03 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.98%EV -1.47%E -0.470%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.54%EV -4.55%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-03 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.98%EV -1.47%E -0.470%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.54%EV -4.55%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-03 19:35
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.64%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.34%EV -6.16%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 19:55
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.64%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.34%EV -6.16%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.91%EV -4.58%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.66%EV -16.31%E -6.15%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.62%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.91%EV -4.58%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.66%EV -16.31%E -6.15%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.62%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 19:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 19:33
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 19:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 19:34
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 19:50
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 19:35
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 19:55
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -9.99%E -3.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -17.89%E -6.88%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -13.23%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-03 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.22%EV -6.76%E -2.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%EV -6.52%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.32%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 19:43
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 19:34
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 19:35
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 19:50
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -3.58%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-03 19:50
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -3.58%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-03 19:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-03 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-03 19:35
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -11.11%E -4.54%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 19:55
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.11%E -4.54%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -11.62%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.11%E -4.54%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-03 19:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.39%EV -12.20%E -5.04%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.23%EV -10.94%E -3.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.38%EV -12.58%E -4.63%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-03 19:40
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.55%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.55%EV -12.20%E -4.39%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -11.62%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-03 19:33
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -14.74%E -6.27%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.16%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -11.62%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-03 19:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-10-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-10-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-10-03 19:55
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-10-03 19:55
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%2.1%2026-10-03 19:35