L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Newells Old Boys v Lanus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-03 20:00 UTC

Score final : Newells Old Boys 0–0 Lanus

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Newells Old Boys (Local)

Prévision 36.28%2.76cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.438%
Kelly +0.683%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 2.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.75%36.28%36.32%38.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.572.602.7942.55%38.94%38.46%35.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lanus (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.58%3.17cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.470%
Kelly -0.692%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.45%31.68%31.54%33.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.892.903.1238.46%34.62%34.48%32.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 32.14%3.11cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.92%32.04%32.14%32.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.882.903.0137.04%34.74%34.48%33.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Newells Old Boys (Local) : 36.28% ; Lanus (Visiteur) : 31.58% ; Match nul : 32.14%. Pour Newells Old Boys (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.76. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.79, soit une espérance positive de +1.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.39%EV +1.22%E +0.438%K +0.683%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.09%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-03 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -0.229%E -0.083%K -0.131%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 19:35
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -0.229%E -0.083%K -0.131%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 19:35
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -2.04%E -0.757%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-03 19:35
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.27%EV -3.13%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -3.05%E -0.992%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.18%EV -3.26%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-03 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.98%EV -1.47%E -0.470%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.54%EV -4.55%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-03 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.47%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.98%EV -1.47%E -0.470%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.54%EV -4.55%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-03 19:35
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.64%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.34%EV -6.16%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 19:55
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.64%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.34%EV -6.16%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.91%EV -4.58%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.66%EV -16.31%E -6.15%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.62%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.91%EV -4.58%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.66%EV -16.31%E -6.15%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.62%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 19:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 19:33
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 19:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 19:34
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 19:50
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 19:35
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 19:55
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -9.99%E -3.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-03 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -5.67%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -17.89%E -6.88%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -13.23%E -4.90%K -7.78%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-03 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.22%EV -6.76%E -2.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%EV -6.52%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.32%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-03 19:43
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 19:34
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.84%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 19:35
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 19:50
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -5.19%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -3.58%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-03 19:50
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -3.58%E -1.19%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-03 19:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.44%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-03 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-03 19:35
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.01%E -3.58%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -11.11%E -4.54%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.42%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 19:55
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.11%E -4.54%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -9.05%E -3.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -11.62%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.11%E -4.54%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -8.40%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-03 19:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.39%EV -12.20%E -5.04%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.23%EV -10.94%E -3.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.38%EV -12.58%E -4.63%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-03 19:40
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.80%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.55%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.55%EV -12.20%E -4.39%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -11.62%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-03 19:33
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -14.74%E -6.27%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.16%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -11.62%E -4.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-03 19:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-10-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-10-03 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%0.5%2026-10-03 19:55
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-10-03 19:55
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%2.1%2026-10-03 19:35