StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Newells Old Boys v Deportivo Riestra

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Newells Old Boys 2–0 Deportivo Riestra

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Newells Old Boys (Hemma)

Prognos 33.37%3.00rättvist odds
EV -2.22%
Fördel -0.756%
Kelly -1.15%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.93

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.91%33.39%33.34%34.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.772.782.9338.46%36.11%35.97%34.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Deportivo Riestra (Borta)

Prognos 32.28%3.10rättvist odds
EV +2.65%
Fördel +0.833%
Kelly +1.21%
Tillväxt +0.032%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.18%32.39%32.35%34.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.872.853.1838.46%34.81%35.09%31.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 34.35%2.91rättvist odds
EV -1.08%
Fördel -0.375%
Kelly -0.574%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.88

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.31%34.22%34.31%35.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.692.702.8840.00%37.17%37.04%34.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Newells Old Boys (Hemma): 33.37%; Deportivo Riestra (Borta): 32.28%; Oavgjort: 34.35%. För Deportivo Riestra (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.10. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.18, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.65%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.53%EV -7.22%E -2.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.18%EV +2.65%E +0.833%K +1.21%G +0.032%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.29%EV -6.57%E -2.42%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 21:49
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 33.03%EV -2.22%E -0.756%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -2.84%E -0.943%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.81%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 21:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.07%EV -2.55%E -0.873%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 21:43
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.07%EV -2.55%E -0.873%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 21:44
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 21:30
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 21:24
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 21:45
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 21:44
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -9.67%E -3.68%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -8.89%E -3.26%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -6.23%E -2.28%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 21:54
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 21:44
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -6.57%E -2.42%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 21:44
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -6.57%E -2.42%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 21:45
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 21:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 21:54
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.04%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 21:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -3.22%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 21:34
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 21:54
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 21:29
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 21:34
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 21:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.23%E -4.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.23%E -4.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.22%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -9.67%E -3.68%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 21:49
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 21:34
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -10.70%E -4.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 21:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -11.56%E -4.36%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -10.70%E -4.11%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -13.23%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-15 21:24
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -1.08%E -0.375%K -0.574%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 21:34
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 21:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.74%EV -11.56%E -4.36%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.74%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 21:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -11.56%E -4.36%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.42%EV -12.20%E -4.49%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.31%EV -11.73%E -4.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-15 21:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -16.07%E -6.18%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 21:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.29%0.5%2026-08-15 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.77%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.21%0.7%2026-08-15 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19%0.8%2026-08-15 21:55
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.13%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%2.0%2026-08-15 21:55
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%2.0%2026-08-15 21:49