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Newells Old Boys v Deportivo Riestra
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Newells Old Boys (Local)
Predicción 33.37%3.00momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.756%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.91%33.39%33.34%34.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.782.9338.46%36.11%35.97%34.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Deportivo Riestra (Visitante)
Predicción 32.28%3.10momio equitativo
EV +2.65%
Ventaja +0.833%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.18%32.39%32.35%34.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.872.853.1838.46%34.81%35.09%31.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 34.35%2.91momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.375%
Kelly -0.574%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.31%34.22%34.31%35.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.692.702.8840.00%37.17%37.04%34.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Newells Old Boys (Local): 33.37%; Deportivo Riestra (Visitante): 32.28%; Empate: 34.35%. Para Deportivo Riestra (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.10. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.18, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.65%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.53%EV -7.22%E -2.60%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.18%EV +2.65%E +0.833%K +1.21%G +0.032% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.29%EV -6.57%E -2.42%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 21:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.03%EV -2.22%E -0.756%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -2.84%E -0.943%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.81%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.07%EV -2.55%E -0.873%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 21:43 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.07%EV -2.55%E -0.873%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74%EV -4.51%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 21:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 21:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -4.78%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -9.67%E -3.68%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -8.89%E -3.26%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -5.10%E -1.73%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -6.23%E -2.28%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 21:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 21:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -6.57%E -2.42%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 21:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -6.57%E -2.42%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.04%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -3.22%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.23%E -4.65%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.23%E -4.65%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.22%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 21:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -9.67%E -3.68%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -10.70%E -4.11%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 21:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -11.56%E -4.36%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -10.70%E -4.11%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -13.23%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -9.62%E -3.44%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -1.08%E -0.375%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.74%EV -11.56%E -4.36%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.74%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 21:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -11.56%E -4.36%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.42%EV -12.20%E -4.49%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.31%EV -11.73%E -4.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-15 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -16.07%E -6.18%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.62% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.29% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.77% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.21% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.59% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.13% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 21:49 |