Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanus v Central Córdoba

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 22:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanus (Local)

Prediction 62.15%1.61fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -5.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.65%62.13%62.12%63.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.491.501.5670.92%67.02%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 13.62%7.34fair odd
EV +4.76%
Edge +0.620%
Kelly +0.712%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 7.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.48%13.59%13.58%15.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.766.757.6917.86%14.78%14.81%13.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.23%4.13fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -0.770%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.64%24.28%24.30%26.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.753.754.0030.30%26.66%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lanus (Local): 62.15%; Central Córdoba (Visit): 13.62%; Draw: 24.23%. For Central Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.34. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.54%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.48%EV +4.76%E +0.620%K +0.712%G +0.034%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.03%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.18%E +0.290%K +0.335%G +0.007%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.28%EV -5.02%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 04:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.03%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.18%E +0.290%K +0.335%G +0.007%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.28%EV -5.02%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 04:14
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.03%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.18%E +0.290%K +0.335%G +0.007%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.28%EV -5.02%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:15
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -4.97%K -15.10%G +0.000%7.42I 13.48%NM 12.62%EV +1.09%E +0.146%K +0.169%G +0.002%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.52%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 05:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.99%EV -8.02%E -5.42%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV +0.813%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 05:09
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -9.89%E -6.82%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -1.23%E -0.170%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:19
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.08%EV -1.91%E -0.265%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 05:10
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.08%EV -1.91%E -0.265%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 05:09
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -4.64%E -0.662%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:20
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.19%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.64%E -0.662%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -4.64%E -0.662%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 12:40
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.46%EV -8.02%E -5.42%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -4.64%E -0.662%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 22:19
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.64%E -0.662%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 12:40
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.85%EV -8.02%E -5.42%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -4.64%E -0.662%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 23:35
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -10.51%E -7.30%K -23.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -4.64%E -0.662%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:45
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -3.05%E -1.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -8.04%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -3.05%E -1.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -8.04%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 08:39
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -8.04%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -8.02%E -5.42%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -8.04%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -11.45%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 08:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -11.45%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -11.45%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 08:49
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -11.45%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 03:04
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -3.05%E -1.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -11.45%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 13:20
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -11.45%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 01:05
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -10.51%E -7.30%K -23.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -11.45%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 14:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -12.81%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -12.81%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.58%EV -9.89%E -6.82%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -12.81%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.58%EV -9.89%E -6.82%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -12.81%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 22:18
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.61%EV -12.37%E -8.77%K -30.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.57%EV -12.81%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -15.20%E -4.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-23 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.31%EV -7.40%E -4.97%K -15.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -14.85%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -13.99%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 13:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.91%EV -10.51%E -7.30%K -23.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.03%EV -14.85%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -15.20%E -4.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-21 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.09%EV -8.64%E -5.88%K -18.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -18.26%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.65%EV -10.51%E -7.30%K -23.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.32%EV -18.26%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -20.04%E -6.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 22:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -10.51%E -7.30%K -23.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.46%EV -23.71%E -4.23%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.39%EV -13.99%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-22 03:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 63.38%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%2.4%2026-04-24 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%5.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%5.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%5.9%2026-04-24 02:35
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 15.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%7.9%2026-04-24 00:40
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 66.30%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.42%19.7%2026-04-24 03:45