L’École des cotes

Lanus v Central Córdoba

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 22:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lanus (Local)

Prévision 62.15%1.61cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -5.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.65%62.13%62.12%63.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.491.501.5670.92%67.02%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Central Córdoba (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.62%7.34cote équitable
EV +4.76%
Avantage +0.620%
Kelly +0.712%
Croissance +0.034%

avec la cote maximale 7.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.48%13.59%13.58%15.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.606.766.757.6917.86%14.78%14.81%13.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.23%4.13cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -0.770%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.64%24.28%24.30%26.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.753.754.0030.30%26.66%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.54%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.48%EV +4.76%E +0.620%K +0.712%G +0.034%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:20
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.03%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.18%E +0.290%K +0.335%G +0.007%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.28%EV -5.02%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 04:14
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.03%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.18%E +0.290%K +0.335%G +0.007%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.28%EV -5.02%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 04:14
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 63.03%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.18%E +0.290%K +0.335%G +0.007%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.28%EV -5.02%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 12:15
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -4.97%K -15.10%G +0.000%7.42I 13.48%NM 12.62%EV +1.09%E +0.146%K +0.169%G +0.002%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.52%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 05:09
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.99%EV -8.02%E -5.42%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV +0.813%E +0.110%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -7.44%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 05:09
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -9.89%E -6.82%K -21.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.69%EV -1.23%E -0.170%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:19
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.08%EV -1.91%E -0.265%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 05:10
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.08%EV -1.91%E -0.265%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 05:09
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -4.64%E -0.662%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:20
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 62.19%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -4.64%E -0.662%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:19
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -4.64%E -0.662%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 12:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.46%EV -8.02%E -5.42%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -4.64%E -0.662%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 22:19
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -4.64%E -0.662%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 12:40
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.85%EV -8.02%E -5.42%K -16.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -4.64%E -0.662%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 23:35
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.90%EV -10.51%E -7.30%K -23.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -4.64%E -0.662%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:45
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -3.05%E -1.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -8.04%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 08:35
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -3.05%E -1.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -8.04%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 08:39
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -8.04%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 22:20
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -8.02%E -5.42%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -8.04%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 22:15
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -11.45%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -3.08%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 08:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -11.45%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 14:30
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -11.45%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 08:49
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -4.91%E -3.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -11.45%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.50%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 03:04
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.18%EV -3.05%E -1.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -11.45%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 13:20
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -11.45%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 01:05
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -10.51%E -7.30%K -23.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -11.45%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 14:09
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -12.81%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -12.81%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -12.77%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 13:20
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.58%EV -9.89%E -6.82%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -12.81%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 22:20
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.58%EV -9.89%E -6.82%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -12.81%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 22:18
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.61%EV -12.37%E -8.77%K -30.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.57%EV -12.81%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -15.20%E -4.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-23 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.31%EV -7.40%E -4.97%K -15.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -14.85%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -13.99%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 13:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.91%EV -10.51%E -7.30%K -23.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.03%EV -14.85%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -15.20%E -4.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-21 22:15
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.09%EV -8.64%E -5.88%K -18.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -18.26%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.65%EV -10.51%E -7.30%K -23.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.32%EV -18.26%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -20.04%E -6.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 22:19
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -10.51%E -7.30%K -23.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.46%EV -23.71%E -4.23%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.39%EV -13.99%E -3.94%K -5.48%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-22 03:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 63.38%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%2.4%2026-04-24 02:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%5.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%5.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.35%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%5.9%2026-04-24 02:35
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 15.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%7.9%2026-04-24 00:40
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 66.30%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.42%19.7%2026-04-24 03:45