La scuola delle quote

Lanus v Boca Juniors

Inizio: 2026-03-05 00:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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34 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lanus (Casa)

Previsione 31.46%3.18quota equa
EV -1.52%
Vantaggio -0.485%
Kelly -0.712%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.23%31.59%31.51%34.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.902.923.1337.74%34.43%34.19%31.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boca Juniors (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.24%2.84quota equa
EV -1.32%
Vantaggio -0.470%
Kelly -0.732%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.91%35.15%35.21%36.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.632.652.8041.67%37.99%37.74%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 33.29%3.00quota equa
EV +0.541%
Vantaggio +0.179%
Kelly +0.268%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.67%33.26%33.28%34.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.792.813.0241.67%35.81%35.59%33.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.81%EV -4.98%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.96%E -2.63%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.81%EV +0.541%E +0.179%K +0.268%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-04 23:54
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -11.90%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -1.32%E -0.470%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.79%E -0.607%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:55
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -11.90%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -1.32%E -0.470%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.79%E -0.607%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:55
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -3.08%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -1.79%E -0.607%K -0.918%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 23:55
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -13.47%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -3.08%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:55
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -10.33%E -3.62%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -10.13%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -4.45%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 23:54
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -4.03%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 23:44
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 23:49
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 23:54
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 23:50
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -16.62%E -6.27%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 23:55
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -16.62%E -6.27%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 23:55
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.90%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -11.89%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -5.12%E -1.80%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 23:55
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 30.90%EV -1.52%E -0.485%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.79%EV -2.02%E -0.727%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -6.12%E -2.17%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 23:50
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 30.93%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.16%EV -4.49%E -1.66%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.91%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:20
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 30.93%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.16%EV -4.49%E -1.66%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.91%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:20
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 23:20
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.66%E -2.92%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 23:45
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -5.55%E -2.07%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -7.45%E -2.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 23:20
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -5.55%E -2.07%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -7.45%E -2.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 23:20
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -6.55%E -2.21%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.93%EV -5.90%E -2.21%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -7.78%E -2.81%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:39
Betclic (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 31.69%EV -11.27%E -4.00%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -12.59%E -5.08%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.27%EV -7.78%E -2.81%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-04 23:44
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.75%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 23:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -11.90%E -4.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -13.65%E -5.57%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -8.45%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-04 23:45
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -3.08%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -10.11%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 23:34
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.84%E -1.79%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -10.11%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 23:35
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.61%E -1.87%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -10.11%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 23:40
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.38%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.66%E -2.92%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.78%E -4.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 23:35
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -9.38%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -8.37%E -3.22%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -13.44%E -5.17%K -8.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-04 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -9.38%E -3.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -15.41%E -6.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -13.44%E -5.17%K -8.40%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-04 23:20
NetBet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 31.91%EV -14.42%E -5.30%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.71%EV -11.89%E -4.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.38%EV -13.44%E -5.17%K -8.40%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-04 23:43
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -15.05%E -5.57%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -15.41%E -6.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.62%EV -20.10%E -8.37%K -14.36%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-04 23:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.05%0.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.05%0.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.05%0.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%0.7%2026-03-04 23:55