Language:English
Independiente Rivadavia v Gimnasia La Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Prediction 44.19%2.26fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.27%44.21%44.29%45.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.102.2051.28%48.00%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gimnasia La Plata (Visit)
Prediction 26.03%3.84fair odd
EV +5.14%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.087%
assuming max odds 4.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.76%26.03%25.81%27.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.584.0430.30%27.87%27.97%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.78%3.36fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.62%29.76%29.89%30.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.093.103.2535.09%32.34%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 44.19%; Gimnasia La Plata (Visit): 26.03%; Draw: 29.78%. For Gimnasia La Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.76%EV +5.14%E +1.27%K +1.69%G +0.087% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.76%EV -7.07%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 00:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.14%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV +1.50%E +0.384%K +0.517%G +0.008% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.09%EV -4.39%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-03 00:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.14%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV +1.50%E +0.384%K +0.517%G +0.008% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.09%EV -4.39%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-03 00:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.14%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV +1.50%E +0.384%K +0.517%G +0.008% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.09%EV -4.39%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-03 00:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -8.08%E -3.89%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -1.10%E -0.291%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -1.10%E -0.291%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.41%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.61%EV -1.63%E -0.430%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV -3.80%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -2.41%E -0.642%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -2.41%E -0.642%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -9.16%E -3.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 00:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.57%EV -8.97%E -4.35%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.01%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.01%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.31%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.31%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.20%E -0.985%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.31%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -10.73%E -5.31%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -7.61%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -12.14%E -4.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 00:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -10.73%E -5.31%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -7.61%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -12.14%E -4.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 00:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 00:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.63%E -4.70%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.49%EV -13.39%E -6.83%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.60%EV -15.12%E -5.30%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-03 00:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.39%EV -8.86%E -2.90%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.99%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -11.51%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.13%EV -13.03%E -4.46%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-03 00:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.82%E -3.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.82%E -3.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -6.18%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 00:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.23%EV -12.50%E -6.31%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.38%EV -13.60%E -4.10%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.39%EV -11.24%E -3.77%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-03 00:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.69%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 00:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.67%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-03 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -13.83%E -7.09%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -10.65%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-03 00:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 0.1% | 2026-10-03 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 0.1% | 2026-10-03 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 00:20 |