La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Independiente v Talleres
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Independiente (Casa)
Previsione 47.58%2.10quota equa
EV -1.51%
Vantaggio -0.730%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.07
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.37%47.39%47.67%48.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.951.952.0755.56%51.18%51.28%48.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Talleres (Trasferta)
Previsione 22.14%4.52quota equa
EV -0.357%
Vantaggio -0.079%
Kelly -0.102%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.70%22.30%22.01%24.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.074.104.5027.78%24.56%24.39%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.28%3.30quota equa
EV -3.72%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.18
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.52%30.31%30.32%31.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.043.053.1836.36%32.90%32.79%31.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -1.51%E -0.730%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -1.51%E -0.730%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -1.99%E -0.964%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -2.46%E -1.20%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.63%EV -3.41%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -2.57%E -0.584%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.40%EV -3.72%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.73%EV -3.01%E -0.688%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.73%EV -3.01%E -0.688%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 22:38 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 20:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.79%E -2.93%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -5.89%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -5.79%E -2.93%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -18.07%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -5.79%E -2.93%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -18.07%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.77%EV -6.74%E -3.44%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.83%EV -5.01%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -6.74%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.81%EV -6.74%E -3.44%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -18.07%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.68%E -0.846%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.68%E -0.846%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.02%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -13.64%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -16.96%E -4.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-21 22:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -8.17%E -4.23%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -3.68%E -0.846%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.74%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.80%EV -8.17%E -4.23%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.27%EV -8.65%E -4.50%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -12.54%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.76%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -0.357%E -0.079%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%EV -16.96%E -4.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -16.74%E -6.09%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-21 02:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.16%EV -9.60%E -5.05%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 02:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -9.60%E -5.05%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.29%EV -10.08%E -5.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.64%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-21 22:38 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.56%EV -11.03%E -5.90%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.64%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.17%EV -11.50%E -6.18%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.48%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.96%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.41%EV -14.36%E -7.98%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -20.29%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -16.74%E -6.09%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |