L’École des cotesFrançais
Independiente v Talleres
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente (Local)
Prévision 47.58%2.10cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.730%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.37%47.39%47.67%48.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.951.952.0755.56%51.18%51.28%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Talleres (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.14%4.52cote équitable
EV -0.357%
Avantage -0.079%
Kelly -0.102%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.70%22.30%22.01%24.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.074.104.5027.78%24.56%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.28%3.30cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.52%30.31%30.32%31.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.043.053.1836.36%32.90%32.79%31.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -1.51%E -0.730%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -1.51%E -0.730%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -1.99%E -0.964%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -2.46%E -1.20%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.63%EV -3.41%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -2.57%E -0.584%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.40%EV -3.72%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.73%EV -3.01%E -0.688%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.73%EV -3.01%E -0.688%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 22:38 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 20:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.79%E -2.93%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -5.89%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -5.79%E -2.93%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -18.07%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -5.79%E -2.93%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -18.07%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.77%EV -6.74%E -3.44%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.83%EV -5.01%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -6.74%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.81%EV -6.74%E -3.44%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -18.07%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.68%E -0.846%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.68%E -0.846%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.02%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -13.64%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -16.96%E -4.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-21 22:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -8.17%E -4.23%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -3.68%E -0.846%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.74%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.80%EV -8.17%E -4.23%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.27%EV -8.65%E -4.50%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -12.54%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.76%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -0.357%E -0.079%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%EV -16.96%E -4.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -16.74%E -6.09%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-21 02:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.16%EV -9.60%E -5.05%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 02:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -9.60%E -5.05%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.29%EV -10.08%E -5.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.64%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-21 22:38 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.56%EV -11.03%E -5.90%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.64%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.17%EV -11.50%E -6.18%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.48%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.96%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.41%EV -14.36%E -7.98%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -20.29%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -16.74%E -6.09%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |