La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Independiente v Talleres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente (Local)
Predicción 47.58%2.10momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.730%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.37%47.39%47.67%48.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.951.952.0755.56%51.18%51.28%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Talleres (Visitante)
Predicción 22.14%4.52momio equitativo
EV -0.357%
Ventaja -0.079%
Kelly -0.102%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.70%22.30%22.01%24.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.074.104.5027.78%24.56%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.28%3.30momio equitativo
EV -3.72%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.52%30.31%30.32%31.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.043.053.1836.36%32.90%32.79%31.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -1.51%E -0.730%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -1.51%E -0.730%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -1.99%E -0.964%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -2.46%E -1.20%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.63%EV -3.41%E -1.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -2.57%E -0.584%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.40%EV -3.72%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 22:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.73%EV -3.01%E -0.688%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.73%EV -3.01%E -0.688%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 22:38 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -4.84%E -2.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 20:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.79%E -2.93%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -5.89%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -5.79%E -2.93%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -18.07%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -5.79%E -2.93%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -18.07%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.77%EV -6.74%E -3.44%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.83%EV -5.01%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -6.74%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.81%EV -6.74%E -3.44%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -18.07%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.68%E -0.846%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -3.68%E -0.846%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 16:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.02%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -13.64%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -7.22%E -3.70%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -16.96%E -4.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-21 22:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -8.17%E -4.23%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -3.68%E -0.846%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.74%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.80%EV -8.17%E -4.23%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -4.79%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.27%EV -8.65%E -4.50%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -12.54%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.76%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -0.357%E -0.079%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.00%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -9.12%E -4.78%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%EV -16.96%E -4.52%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -16.74%E -6.09%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-21 02:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.16%EV -9.60%E -5.05%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 02:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -9.60%E -5.05%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -11.43%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.29%EV -10.08%E -5.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.64%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-21 22:38 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.56%EV -11.03%E -5.90%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.64%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64%EV -9.17%E -3.06%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 22:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.17%EV -11.50%E -6.18%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -15.86%E -4.17%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.48%EV -12.93%E -7.07%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -14.75%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.96%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.41%EV -14.36%E -7.98%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -20.29%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -16.74%E -6.09%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 22:39 |