语言:简体中文
Independiente v Platense
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Independiente (主队)
预测 51.77%1.93公平赔率
EV -4.22%
优势 -2.28%
Kelly -4.96%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.85
博彩公司预测分布
50.99%51.88%51.69%54.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.771.791.8561.73%56.37%55.87%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
Platense (客队)
预测 18.60%5.38公平赔率
EV +6.77%
优势 +1.18%
Kelly +1.43%
增长率 +0.097%
假设最高赔率为 5.74
博彩公司预测分布
16.80%18.49%18.70%20.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.065.005.7422.22%19.76%20.00%17.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.63%3.38公平赔率
EV -1.05%
优势 -0.314%
Kelly -0.449%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.34
博彩公司预测分布
28.36%29.62%29.61%30.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.143.153.3434.48%31.84%31.75%29.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Independiente (主队)：51.77%；Platense (客队)：18.60%；平局：29.63%。 对于“Platense (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.38。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.74，对应+6.77%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.69%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.80%EV +6.77%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.51%EV -6.38%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.69%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.80%EV +6.77%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.51%EV -6.38%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.53%EV -10.95%E -6.37%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +2.30%E +0.419%K +0.512%G +0.012% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -2.24%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.53%EV -10.95%E -6.37%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +2.30%E +0.419%K +0.512%G +0.012% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -2.24%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.13%EV -9.40%E -5.37%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.51%EV +0.631%E +0.117%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.36%EV -1.05%E -0.314%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.47%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.445%E +0.082%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.47%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +0.445%E +0.082%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -8.36%E -4.72%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +0.445%E +0.082%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.38%EV -10.95%E -6.37%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV +0.445%E +0.082%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.17%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.04%EV -0.485%E -0.091%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.79%EV -4.01%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.22%EV -7.33%E -4.09%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -1.42%E -0.267%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -2.35%E -0.447%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.04%EV -15.09%E -9.20%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.38%EV -5.14%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.04%EV -15.09%E -9.20%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.38%EV -5.14%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.09%EV -16.13%E -9.95%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.18%EV -5.14%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.73%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.82%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.07%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.29%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.87%EV -6.44%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.84%EV -5.79%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 22:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.00%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 05:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.00%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 05:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -7.00%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 04:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.00%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.50%EV -5.77%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.00%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.00%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -9.40%E -5.37%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.00%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.43%E -6.03%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.00%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.24%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.02%EV -9.79%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 00:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.25%E -2.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -10.72%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 05:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.17%EV -11.47%E -6.71%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.58%EV -10.72%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 00:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.10%EV -10.43%E -6.03%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.72%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.65%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -7.84%E -4.41%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -11.65%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 04:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.13%EV -9.40%E -5.37%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -12.58%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 00:23 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.70%EV -11.99%E -7.05%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -12.58%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.59%EV -12.01%E -4.04%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -14.44%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 02:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -7.84%E -4.41%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -14.44%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 05:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.99%EV -7.84%E -4.41%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.44%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 04:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -8.88%E -5.04%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -16.30%E -3.62%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 05:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.46% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.31% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.31% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.12% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.33% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.96% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 22:35 |