语言:简体中文
Independiente v Gimnasia Mendoza
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Independiente (主队)
预测 52.19%1.92公平赔率
EV -3.44%
优势 -1.86%
Kelly -4.05%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.85
博彩公司预测分布
51.13%52.15%52.15%53.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.781.801.8560.24%56.33%55.56%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
Gimnasia Mendoza (客队)
预测 19.27%5.19公平赔率
EV +0.568%
优势 +0.109%
Kelly +0.134%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 5.22
博彩公司预测分布
18.40%19.38%19.26%20.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.784.755.2222.73%20.94%21.05%19.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.54%3.50公平赔率
EV -2.96%
优势 -0.871%
Kelly -1.23%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.44%28.47%28.59%29.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.273.273.4032.79%30.57%30.53%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Independiente (主队)：52.19%；Gimnasia Mendoza (客队)：19.27%；平局：28.54%。 对于“Gimnasia Mendoza (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.19。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.22，对应+0.568%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.76%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.40%EV +0.568%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%EV -4.96%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.66%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.57%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -1.74%E -0.342%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -3.67%E -0.734%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.55%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -3.67%E -0.734%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.55%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -3.67%E -0.734%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.55%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -3.67%E -0.734%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -3.67%E -0.734%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -3.67%E -0.734%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -3.67%E -0.734%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.60%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.60%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.14%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -5.60%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.60%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.96%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.60%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.96%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -7.52%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.28%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.52%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -8.49%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -8.49%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -8.49%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -9.45%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.20%EV -10.75%E -6.29%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.20%EV -10.41%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.61%EV -10.95%E -3.51%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -2.96%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 21:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.70%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -12.84%E -7.69%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -12.84%E -7.69%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.90%EV -11.27%E -6.63%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.18%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -12.95%E -4.25%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.96%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -9.18%E -5.28%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.75%EV -13.36%E -8.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.86%EV -10.23%E -5.95%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -15.23%E -3.46%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.76% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.31% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.28% | 2.5% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |