Langue:Français
Independiente v Gimnasia Mendoza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente (Local)
Prévision 52.19%1.92cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -4.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.13%52.15%52.15%53.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.781.801.8560.24%56.33%55.56%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.27%5.19cote équitable
EV +0.568%
Avantage +0.109%
Kelly +0.134%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 5.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.40%19.38%19.26%20.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.784.755.2222.73%20.94%21.05%19.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.54%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -0.871%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.44%28.47%28.59%29.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.273.273.4032.79%30.57%30.53%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Independiente (Local) : 52.19% ; Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur) : 19.27% ; Match nul : 28.54%. Pour Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.19. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.22, soit une espérance positive de +0.568%.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.76%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.40%EV +0.568%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%EV -4.96%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.66%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.57%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -1.74%E -0.342%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -3.67%E -0.734%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.55%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -3.67%E -0.734%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.55%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30%EV -3.67%E -0.734%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.55%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -3.67%E -0.734%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -3.67%E -0.734%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -3.67%E -0.734%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -3.67%E -0.734%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.60%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.60%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.14%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -5.60%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.60%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.96%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.42%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.60%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.96%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -7.52%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.28%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.52%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -4.39%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -8.49%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.81%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -8.49%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -8.49%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -9.45%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.20%EV -10.75%E -6.29%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.20%EV -10.41%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.61%EV -10.95%E -3.51%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -2.96%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 21:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.70%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.52%E -3.72%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -12.84%E -7.69%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -12.84%E -7.69%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.90%EV -11.27%E -6.63%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.18%EV -11.38%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -12.95%E -4.25%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.96%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -9.18%E -5.28%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -7.24%E -2.23%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.75%EV -13.36%E -8.05%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.10%E -3.21%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.86%EV -10.23%E -5.95%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -15.23%E -3.46%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -8.67%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.76% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.31% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.28% | 2.5% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |