A Escola das Odds

Gimnasia Mendoza v Velez Sarsfield BA

Início: 2026-04-03 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

33 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)

Previsão 23.68%4.22odd justa
EV +0.638%
Vantagem +0.150%
Kelly +0.196%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.40%23.64%23.65%24.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.553.913.904.2528.17%25.60%25.64%23.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Velez Sarsfield BA (Visitante)

Previsão 43.97%2.27odd justa
EV -4.15%
Vantagem -1.90%
Kelly -3.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.11%44.01%44.00%45.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.092.102.1852.36%47.81%47.62%45.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.35%3.09odd justa
EV -3.27%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.27%32.35%32.36%32.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.862.902.9937.04%34.94%34.48%33.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (33 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV +0.638%E +0.150%K +0.196%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.27%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 17:45
BetOnline.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV +0.638%E +0.150%K +0.196%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.27%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 17:45
Pinnacle4.14I 24.15%NM 23.34%EV -1.97%E -0.475%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.33%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.32%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-03 17:50
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -2.91%E -0.711%K -0.940%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:45
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -2.91%E -0.711%K -0.940%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 17:55
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -4.10%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -6.79%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.96%EV -8.44%E -2.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 17:50
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 17:49
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 17:54
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 17:40
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 17:50
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 17:55
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 17:40
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.11%EV -5.91%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:49
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.11%EV -5.91%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:49
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 17:50
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 17:50
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 17:45
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 17:45
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.73%EV -5.91%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 17:45
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.15%EV -9.42%E -4.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 17:50
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.15%EV -9.42%E -4.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.14%EV -10.30%E -5.05%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-03 17:50
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -11.03%E -4.01%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 17:55
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 17:54
Bet Right3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 17:45
Betclic (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.97%EV -10.74%E -5.29%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -10.39%E -3.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-03 17:45
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.37%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-03 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.11%EV -16.02%E -8.39%K -17.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.91%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-03 17:40
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 17:45
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 17:45
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.43%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.46%EV -14.26%E -7.31%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.11%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-03 17:49
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -15.94%E -4.49%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.06%E -6.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -11.03%E -4.01%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-03 17:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%1.4%2026-04-03 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.75%1.8%2026-04-03 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.75%1.8%2026-04-03 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.75%1.8%2026-04-03 17:50
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.25%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.98%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.77%2.4%2026-04-03 17:55