L’École des cotesFrançais
Gimnasia Mendoza v Velez Sarsfield BA
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)
Prévision 23.68%4.22cote équitable
EV +0.638%
Avantage +0.150%
Kelly +0.196%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.40%23.64%23.65%24.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.913.904.2528.17%25.60%25.64%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.97%2.27cote équitable
EV -4.15%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -3.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.11%44.01%44.00%45.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.092.102.1852.36%47.81%47.62%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.35%3.09cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.99
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.27%32.35%32.36%32.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.862.902.9937.04%34.94%34.48%33.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV +0.638%E +0.150%K +0.196%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.27%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV +0.638%E +0.150%K +0.196%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.27%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| Pinnacle | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.34%EV -1.97%E -0.475%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.33%EV -4.15%E -1.90%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.32%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -2.91%E -0.711%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| BetAnything | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -2.91%E -0.711%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -4.10%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -6.79%E -3.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.96%EV -8.44%E -2.98%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 17:49 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 17:54 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.11%EV -5.91%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.11%EV -5.91%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:49 |
| NordicBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| Betsson | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%EV -5.53%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| theScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.73%EV -5.91%E -2.76%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.15%EV -9.42%E -4.57%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.15%EV -9.42%E -4.57%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.14%EV -10.30%E -5.05%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -11.03%E -4.01%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -5.47%E -2.54%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 17:54 |
| Bet Right | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.67%E -3.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.97%EV -10.74%E -5.29%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -10.39%E -3.75%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| Sky Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.37%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-03 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.11%EV -16.02%E -8.39%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.91%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -9.86%E -4.81%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.43%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.46%EV -14.26%E -7.31%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.11%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-03 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -15.94%E -4.49%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.06%E -6.03%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -11.03%E -4.01%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.75% | 1.8% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.75% | 1.8% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.75% | 1.8% | 2026-04-03 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.25% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.98% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.77% | 2.4% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |