The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Gimnasia Mendoza v Talleres

2026-08-18 00:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)

Prediction 33.33%3.00fair odd
EV -6.67%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%33.33%33.33%33.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.802.8038.46%36.50%35.71%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Talleres (Visit)

Prediction 33.33%3.00fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.94%33.33%33.33%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.802.8538.46%36.36%35.71%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 33.33%3.00fair odd
EV -6.67%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%33.33%33.33%33.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.802.8038.46%36.50%35.71%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gimnasia Mendoza (Local): 33.33%; Talleres (Visit): 33.33%; Draw: 33.33%. For Talleres (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.85, with an expected value of -5.00%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.00%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 23:09
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 18:59
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.67%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 19:05
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -10.00%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -10.00%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -10.00%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 19:04
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -13.33%E -5.13%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -13.33%E -5.13%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -13.33%E -5.13%K -8.33%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-02 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 19:55