StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Gimnasia Mendoza v Talleres

Matchstart: 2026-08-18 00:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Gimnasia Mendoza 3–1 Talleres

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

35 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Gimnasia Mendoza (Hemma)

Prognos 31.03%3.22rättvist odds
EV -2.25%
Fördel -0.715%
Kelly -1.05%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.08%31.06%31.03%33.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.652.953.003.1537.74%33.91%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Talleres (Borta)

Prognos 36.35%2.75rättvist odds
EV -1.86%
Fördel -0.691%
Kelly -1.10%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.40%36.45%36.36%38.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.562.552.7041.67%39.07%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 32.62%3.07rättvist odds
EV -2.13%
Fördel -0.711%
Kelly -1.07%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.08%32.49%32.60%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.672.852.883.0037.45%35.09%34.72%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Gimnasia Mendoza (Hemma): 31.03%; Talleres (Borta): 36.35%; Oavgjort: 32.62%. För Talleres (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.75. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.70, med väntevärdet -1.86%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (35 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -2.25%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.12%EV -2.59%E -0.967%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.15%EV -4.74%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-18 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -2.25%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -2.59%E -0.967%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.30%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 22:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -2.25%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -2.59%E -0.967%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.30%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 22:50
BetAnything🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV -2.25%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -2.59%E -0.967%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.30%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 22:50
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.50%E -2.12%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 23:40
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -12.77%E -5.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -2.13%E -0.711%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 22:08
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -7.03%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.38%EV -5.50%E -2.12%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 00:25
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.32%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -4.74%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 00:22
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.32%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -4.74%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -6.29%E -2.08%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.76%EV -5.14%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.66%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 00:24
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.03%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -2.13%E -0.711%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 00:25
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.32%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 00:23
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.32%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 00:20
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.32%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 00:25
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.66%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 00:20
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -5.50%E -2.12%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -8.66%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 00:19
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.32%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.03%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-18 00:24
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.77%E -5.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 22:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -12.77%E -5.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.08%EV -9.31%E -3.35%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-18 00:20
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -6.05%E -2.10%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-18 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -7.32%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.29%E -3.74%K -5.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-18 00:24
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.29%E -3.74%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-18 00:20
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.92%E -4.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-18 00:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -1.86%E -0.691%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 00:24
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -1.86%E -0.691%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.39%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 00:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -8.66%E -3.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -12.77%E -5.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -7.03%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-18 00:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.18%EV -12.49%E -4.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.93%EV -12.90%E -4.83%K -7.72%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-18 00:24
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.94%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.24%EV -7.03%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 00:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -16.22%E -6.01%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -7.32%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -10.29%E -3.74%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-18 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -16.22%E -6.01%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -7.32%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -10.29%E -3.74%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-18 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -17.77%E -6.70%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.40%EV -7.32%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -11.92%E -4.41%K -7.01%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-18 00:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%0.8%2026-08-18 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%0.8%2026-08-18 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%0.8%2026-08-18 00:25
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-08-18 00:25