A Escola das Odds

Gimnasia La Plata v Atlético Huracán

Início: 2026-04-05 18:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Gimnasia La Plata (Local)

Previsão 33.25%3.01odd justa
EV -0.927%
Vantagem -0.311%
Kelly -0.468%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.25%33.22%33.25%35.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.792.802.9839.22%35.80%35.71%33.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlético Huracán (Visitante)

Previsão 32.64%3.06odd justa
EV +1.85%
Vantagem +0.593%
Kelly +0.873%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.74%32.73%32.59%34.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.812.803.1240.00%35.59%35.71%32.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 34.11%2.93odd justa
EV -2.79%
Vantagem -0.978%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.90%34.05%34.15%34.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.722.722.8540.00%36.75%36.76%35.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.13%EV -9.24%E -3.38%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.74%EV +1.85%E +0.593%K +0.873%G +0.016%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.13%EV -4.15%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 18:25
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.40%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -2.07%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.87%EV -6.88%E -2.52%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 16:45
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.40%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -2.07%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.87%EV -6.88%E -2.52%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 16:45
Pinnacle2.98I 33.56%NM 32.48%EV -0.927%E -0.311%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.70%EV -3.37%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.82%EV -5.18%E -1.86%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 18:15
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -4.49%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 16:50
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 16:44
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:50
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -7.22%E -2.66%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 18:14
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -7.22%E -2.66%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 18:15
Marathon Bet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.12%EV -6.25%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.46%EV -7.56%E -2.79%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:25
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -6.31%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -4.49%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 16:45
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -2.79%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 18:05
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 18:25
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 18:09
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:20
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:24
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:45
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:10
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.38%EV -4.58%E -1.60%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 18:24
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 18:15
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 16:54
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.90%E -4.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 16:54
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -13.56%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -9.61%E -3.63%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 18:05
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -13.56%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.07%EV -9.25%E -3.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -9.61%E -3.63%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 18:03
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -2.79%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 18:25
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -2.79%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 18:25
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -10.63%E -4.06%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 18:25
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -11.90%E -4.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 16:50
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -2.79%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 18:05
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -11.32%E -4.35%K -7.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 18:25
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 18:24
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 18:25
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -15.22%E -5.97%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -9.61%E -3.63%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-05 16:49
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.24%EV -12.90%E -4.92%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.87%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.89%EV -12.34%E -4.80%K -7.86%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-05 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -15.12%E -5.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -18.39%E -7.36%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -14.73%E -5.89%K -9.82%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-05 18:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%1.0%2026-04-05 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%1.1%2026-04-05 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.75%1.3%2026-04-05 18:25
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.75%1.3%2026-04-05 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%1.6%2026-04-05 18:25
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.93%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%2.6%2026-04-05 18:25