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Gimnasia La Plata v Atlético Huracán
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gimnasia La Plata (Local)
Predicción 33.25%3.01momio equitativo
EV -0.927%
Ventaja -0.311%
Kelly -0.468%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.25%33.22%33.25%35.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.792.802.9839.22%35.80%35.71%33.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlético Huracán (Visitante)
Predicción 32.64%3.06momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.593%
Kelly +0.873%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.74%32.73%32.59%34.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.812.803.1240.00%35.59%35.71%32.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 34.11%2.93momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -0.978%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.90%34.05%34.15%34.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.722.722.8540.00%36.75%36.76%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gimnasia La Plata (Local): 33.25%; Atlético Huracán (Visitante): 32.64%; Empate: 34.11%. Para Atlético Huracán (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.06. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.12, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.85%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.13%EV -9.24%E -3.38%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.74%EV +1.85%E +0.593%K +0.873%G +0.016% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.13%EV -4.15%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.40%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -2.07%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.87%EV -6.88%E -2.52%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.40%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -2.07%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.87%EV -6.88%E -2.52%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.48%EV -0.927%E -0.311%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.70%EV -3.37%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.82%EV -5.18%E -1.86%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -4.49%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -7.22%E -2.66%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 18:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -7.22%E -2.66%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.12%EV -6.25%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.46%EV -7.56%E -2.79%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -6.31%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -4.49%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -2.79%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 18:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.38%EV -4.58%E -1.60%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 18:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.90%E -4.49%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -13.56%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -9.61%E -3.63%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -13.56%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.07%EV -9.25%E -3.33%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -9.61%E -3.63%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 18:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -2.79%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -2.79%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -10.63%E -4.06%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -11.90%E -4.49%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -2.79%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -11.32%E -4.35%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -15.22%E -5.97%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -9.61%E -3.63%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-05 16:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.24%EV -12.90%E -4.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.87%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.89%EV -12.34%E -4.80%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -15.12%E -5.82%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-05 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -18.39%E -7.36%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -14.73%E -5.89%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.75% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.75% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67% | 1.6% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.93% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57% | 2.6% | 2026-04-05 18:25 |