L’École des cotes

Gimnasia La Plata v Atlético Huracán

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 18:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gimnasia La Plata (Local)

Prévision 33.25%3.01cote équitable
EV -0.927%
Avantage -0.311%
Kelly -0.468%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.25%33.22%33.25%35.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.792.802.9839.22%35.80%35.71%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlético Huracán (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.64%3.06cote équitable
EV +1.85%
Avantage +0.593%
Kelly +0.873%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 3.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.74%32.73%32.59%34.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.812.803.1240.00%35.59%35.71%32.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 34.11%2.93cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -0.978%
Kelly -1.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.90%34.05%34.15%34.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.722.722.8540.00%36.75%36.76%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.13%EV -9.24%E -3.38%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.74%EV +1.85%E +0.593%K +0.873%G +0.016%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.13%EV -4.15%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 18:25
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.40%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -2.07%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.87%EV -6.88%E -2.52%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 16:45
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.40%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -2.07%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.87%EV -6.88%E -2.52%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 16:45
Pinnacle2.98I 33.56%NM 32.48%EV -0.927%E -0.311%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.70%EV -3.37%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.82%EV -5.18%E -1.86%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 18:15
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -4.49%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 16:50
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 16:44
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:50
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -7.22%E -2.66%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 18:14
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -7.22%E -2.66%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 18:15
Marathon Bet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.12%EV -6.25%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.46%EV -7.56%E -2.79%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:25
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -5.98%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.59%EV -6.31%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.40%EV -4.49%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 16:45
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -2.79%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 18:05
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 18:25
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 18:09
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:20
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:24
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -6.96%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:45
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:10
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.38%EV -4.58%E -1.60%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 18:24
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 18:15
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 16:54
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.90%E -4.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 16:54
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -13.56%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -9.61%E -3.63%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 18:05
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -13.56%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.07%EV -9.25%E -3.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -9.61%E -3.63%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 18:03
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -2.79%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 18:25
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -2.79%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 18:25
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -10.63%E -4.06%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 18:25
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -11.90%E -4.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 16:50
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -2.79%E -0.978%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 18:05
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -11.32%E -4.35%K -7.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 18:25
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 18:24
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -6.20%E -2.25%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 18:25
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -15.22%E -5.97%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.90%EV -9.61%E -3.63%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-05 16:49
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.24%EV -12.90%E -4.92%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.87%EV -13.49%E -5.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.89%EV -12.34%E -4.80%K -7.86%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-05 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -15.12%E -5.82%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -7.90%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -8.57%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -18.39%E -7.36%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -14.73%E -5.89%K -9.82%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-05 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%1.0%2026-04-05 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%1.1%2026-04-05 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.75%1.3%2026-04-05 18:25
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.75%1.3%2026-04-05 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%1.6%2026-04-05 18:25
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.93%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%2.6%2026-04-05 18:25