The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Barracas Central

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 00:45 UTC

Final: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1–2 Barracas Central

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)

Prediction 40.88%2.45fair odd
EV -0.668%
Edge -0.275%
Kelly -0.467%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.79%40.77%40.90%41.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.302.4347.62%43.89%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barracas Central (Visit)

Prediction 24.70%4.05fair odd
EV +0.029%
Edge +0.007%
Kelly +0.010%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.23%24.85%24.67%28.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.673.754.0530.77%27.22%26.67%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 34.42%2.90fair odd
EV -0.858%
Edge -0.298%
Kelly -0.457%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.76%34.38%34.43%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8840.00%37.00%37.04%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local): 40.88%; Barracas Central (Visit): 24.70%; Draw: 34.42%. For Barracas Central (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.049. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.050, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.029%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.18%EV -3.94%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.89%EV +0.029%E +0.007%K +0.010%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.93%EV -4.64%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 00:35
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.47%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.21%E -0.301%K -0.402%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 00:35
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.30%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -1.21%E -0.301%K -0.402%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.81%E -3.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:34
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.85%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.68%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.06%EV -7.74%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 00:29
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.85%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.68%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.06%EV -7.74%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 00:30
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.39%EV -2.71%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -4.66%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.70%EV -4.64%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 00:39
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.09%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 00:30
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 00:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.75%EV -6.39%E -2.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.95%EV -8.09%E -3.03%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 00:34
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:29
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -10.07%E -4.58%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -10.50%E -4.04%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 00:34
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 00:29
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.51%EV -6.80%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 00:29
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -10.07%E -4.58%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 00:19
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.11%E -5.63%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -13.94%E -5.58%K -9.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 00:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.02%EV -2.71%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -8.12%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.38%EV -4.64%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.02%EV -2.71%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -8.12%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.38%EV -4.64%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:30
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 00:40
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -3.94%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 00:28
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.11%EV -11.30%E -5.21%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.58%EV -10.34%E -2.85%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.31%EV -10.50%E -4.04%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -10.07%E -4.58%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 00:30
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 00:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -12.11%E -5.63%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -10.50%E -4.04%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 00:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55%EV -12.11%E -5.63%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -12.22%E -4.79%K -7.88%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-12 00:30
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -1.89%E -0.789%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -0.858%E -0.298%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -1.89%E -0.789%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -0.858%E -0.298%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -14.16%E -6.74%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -13.94%E -5.58%K -9.29%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-12 00:39
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -0.668%E -0.275%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -17.26%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.89%E -0.664%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 00:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -18.49%E -5.60%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -18.49%E -5.60%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -6.80%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -19.73%E -6.07%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 00:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 42.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.98%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.01%0.0%2026-04-12 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%1.0%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%1.0%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%1.0%2026-04-12 00:35
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%1.0%2026-04-12 00:35
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.86%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.69%2.2%2026-04-12 00:35