L’École des cotes

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Barracas Central

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 00:45 UTC

Score final : Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1–2 Barracas Central

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)

Prévision 40.88%2.45cote équitable
EV -0.668%
Avantage -0.275%
Kelly -0.467%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.79%40.77%40.90%41.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.302.4347.62%43.89%43.48%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barracas Central (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.70%4.05cote équitable
EV +0.029%
Avantage +0.007%
Kelly +0.010%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.23%24.85%24.67%28.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.673.754.0530.77%27.22%26.67%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 34.42%2.90cote équitable
EV -0.858%
Avantage -0.298%
Kelly -0.457%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.76%34.38%34.43%35.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.702.702.8840.00%37.00%37.04%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.18%EV -3.94%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.89%EV +0.029%E +0.007%K +0.010%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.93%EV -4.64%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 00:35
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.47%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.21%E -0.301%K -0.402%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 00:35
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.30%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -1.21%E -0.301%K -0.402%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.81%E -3.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:34
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.85%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.68%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.06%EV -7.74%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 00:29
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.85%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.68%E -0.942%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.06%EV -7.74%E -2.89%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 00:30
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.39%EV -2.71%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -4.66%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.70%EV -4.64%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 00:39
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.09%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 00:30
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 00:39
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.75%EV -6.39%E -2.79%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -5.16%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.95%EV -8.09%E -3.03%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 00:34
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 00:35
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:29
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:30
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -10.07%E -4.58%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -10.50%E -4.04%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 00:34
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 00:29
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.51%EV -6.80%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 00:29
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -10.07%E -4.58%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 00:19
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.11%E -5.63%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -13.94%E -5.58%K -9.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 00:34
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.02%EV -2.71%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -8.12%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.38%EV -4.64%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:30
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.02%EV -2.71%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -8.12%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.38%EV -4.64%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:30
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 00:40
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -3.94%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 00:28
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.11%EV -11.30%E -5.21%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.58%EV -10.34%E -2.85%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.31%EV -10.50%E -4.04%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 00:30
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -10.07%E -4.58%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 00:30
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 00:30
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -7.05%E -2.61%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 00:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -12.11%E -5.63%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -10.50%E -4.04%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 00:29
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55%EV -12.11%E -5.63%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -12.22%E -4.79%K -7.88%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-12 00:30
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -1.89%E -0.789%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -0.858%E -0.298%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -1.89%E -0.789%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -0.858%E -0.298%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -14.16%E -6.74%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -16.02%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -13.94%E -5.58%K -9.29%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-12 00:39
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -0.668%E -0.275%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -17.26%E -5.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -1.89%E -0.664%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 00:30
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -18.49%E -5.60%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 00:40
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -18.49%E -5.60%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -6.80%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -19.73%E -6.07%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -5.33%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 00:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 42.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.98%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.01%0.0%2026-04-12 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%1.0%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%1.0%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%1.0%2026-04-12 00:35
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%1.0%2026-04-12 00:35
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.86%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.69%2.2%2026-04-12 00:35