The School of Odds

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Banfield

2026-08-01 18:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)

Prediction 34.88%2.87fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.46%34.93%34.80%35.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.49%38.46%36.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Banfield (Visit)

Prediction 32.20%3.11fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.81%32.25%32.19%33.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.812.813.0039.22%35.61%35.59%33.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 32.92%3.04fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.97%32.82%33.00%33.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.832.9338.46%35.66%35.40%34.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -4.07%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -6.18%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:04
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.07%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.08%EV -7.59%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.40%EV -3.54%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:24
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.82%E -2.16%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.07%EV -9.20%E -3.26%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -5.19%E -1.80%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.82%E -2.16%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.82%E -2.79%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 01:10
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -5.82%E -2.16%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -7.27%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.82%E -2.79%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 01:09
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.61%E -3.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -5.19%E -1.80%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 01:15
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -4.53%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 23:14
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -4.53%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 23:13
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -6.18%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 01:14
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.80%E -5.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -7.82%E -2.79%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 23:14
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.14%EV -12.80%E -5.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.95%EV -11.46%E -4.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.91%EV -12.10%E -4.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 22:58
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.85%EV -12.80%E -5.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -14.68%E -5.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -11.11%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-25 22:59
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.53%EV -14.54%E -5.93%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -13.07%E -4.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -11.11%E -4.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 23:15
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.91%EV -16.28%E -6.78%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.86%EV -17.90%E -7.02%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.23%EV -14.41%E -5.54%K -9.00%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-25 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 23:30