Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.91
assuming max odds 2.90
assuming max odds 3.13
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local): 34.13%; Banfield (Visit): 33.94%; Draw: 31.93%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.132. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.130, with an expected value of -0.048%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.686%E -0.236%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.22%EV -3.96%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.50%EV -4.84%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -1.03%E -0.354%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -1.03%E -0.354%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -2.73%E -0.959%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -3.76%E -1.33%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26%EV -5.65%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -4.84%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -3.76%E -1.33%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26%EV -5.65%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -4.84%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.44%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.80%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.44%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -1.58%E -0.545%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -1.58%E -0.545%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.80%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 09:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 13:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 18:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.33%EV -0.048%E -0.015%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -2.26%E -0.784%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 18:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -3.28%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 08:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 13:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -13.78%E -5.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -1.64%E -0.534%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -10.24%E -3.89%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -13.78%E -5.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.58%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 15:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -1.01%E -0.324%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 15:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -10.06%E -3.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-01 08:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.89%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.29%EV -12.78%E -4.97%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.81%EV -11.54%E -4.17%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-01 18:17 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.76%EV -12.29%E -4.78%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.33%EV -9.05%E -3.38%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-01 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -11.76%E -4.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.12%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-01 08:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.86% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
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