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Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Banfield
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)
Predicción 34.13%2.93momio equitativo
EV -0.686%
Ventaja -0.236%
Kelly -0.359%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.14%34.22%34.16%35.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.712.702.9139.22%36.85%37.04%34.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Banfield (Visitante)
Predicción 33.94%2.95momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.545%
Kelly -0.832%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.52%33.92%33.98%34.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.572.762.752.9038.91%36.27%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.93%3.13momio equitativo
EV -0.048%
Ventaja -0.015%
Kelly -0.023%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.94%31.85%31.87%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.892.903.1337.04%34.59%34.48%31.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local): 34.13%; Banfield (Visitante): 33.94%; Empate: 31.93%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.132. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.130, con un valor esperado de -0.048%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.28%EV -0.686%E -0.236%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.22%EV -3.96%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.50%EV -4.84%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -1.03%E -0.354%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -1.03%E -0.354%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -2.73%E -0.959%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -3.76%E -1.33%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26%EV -5.65%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -4.84%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -3.76%E -1.33%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.26%EV -5.65%E -2.03%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -4.84%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.44%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.80%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.44%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -1.58%E -0.545%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -1.58%E -0.545%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.80%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 09:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.52%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 13:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.15%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 18:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.33%EV -0.048%E -0.015%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -2.26%E -0.784%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 18:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -3.28%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 08:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 13:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -7.85%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -13.78%E -5.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -1.64%E -0.534%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.56%E -3.61%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -10.24%E -3.89%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -13.78%E -5.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.58%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 15:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -1.01%E -0.324%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 15:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -6.67%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -8.37%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -10.06%E -3.80%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-01 08:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.89%EV -11.27%E -4.33%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.29%EV -12.78%E -4.97%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.81%EV -11.54%E -4.17%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-01 18:17 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.76%EV -12.29%E -4.78%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.33%EV -9.05%E -3.38%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-01 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -12.97%E -5.09%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -11.76%E -4.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.12%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-01 08:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.86% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |