La scuola delle quote

Estudiantes v Union Santa Fe

Inizio: 2026-04-11 20:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Estudiantes (Casa)

Previsione 36.82%2.72quota equa
EV -3.52%
Vantaggio -1.34%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.90%36.98%36.79%40.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.282.472.502.6243.86%40.42%40.00%38.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Union Santa Fe (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.37%3.40quota equa
EV +5.74%
Vantaggio +1.59%
Kelly +2.21%
Crescita +0.127%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.19%29.24%29.36%31.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.203.203.6036.36%31.28%31.25%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 33.80%2.96quota equa
EV -3.66%
Vantaggio -1.28%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.57%33.78%33.85%35.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.742.752.8539.22%36.47%36.36%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV +5.74%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.127%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 20:10
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.68%EV -12.36%E -5.19%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV +4.27%E +1.20%K +1.68%G +0.072%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:10
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV +4.27%E +1.20%K +1.68%G +0.072%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 19:59
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -15.31%E -6.66%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV +1.34%E +0.387%K +0.545%G +0.007%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 20:09
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -15.31%E -6.66%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV +1.34%E +0.387%K +0.545%G +0.007%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 20:10
LowVig.ag2.59I 38.61%NM 36.75%EV -4.63%E -1.79%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -0.133%E -0.039%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:55
BetOnline.ag2.59I 38.61%NM 36.75%EV -4.63%E -1.79%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -0.133%E -0.039%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.51%EV -16.04%E -7.04%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -0.133%E -0.039%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 20:09
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.23%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV -1.31%E -0.389%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.96%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 20:00
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.62%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.99%EV -2.78%E -0.839%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.39%EV -5.69%E -2.04%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.07%E -0.931%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:40
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 16:20
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 19:54
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 20:10
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 20:04
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 15:00
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.85%EV -6.84%E -2.70%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -7.38%E -2.69%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 20:05
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 20:04
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 19:39
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%EV -6.02%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:00
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%EV -6.02%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:04
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 19:59
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 19:54
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 20:00
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 16:19
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 20:09
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 20:05
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 20:04
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 20:10
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.45%EV -14.57%E -6.28%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -13.80%E -5.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 19:39
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -12.36%E -5.19%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 20:04
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.50%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.01%EV -12.47%E -4.18%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.49%EV -9.74%E -3.65%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 19:54
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.65%EV -16.29%E -5.72%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.96%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-11 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -19.23%E -6.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -11.09%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 16:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-04-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-04-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-04-11 20:10
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-04-11 20:05
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.23%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.98%1.7%2026-04-11 20:10
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%2.1%2026-04-11 20:10