La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Estudiantes v Union Santa Fe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Estudiantes (Local)
Predicción 36.82%2.72momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.90%36.98%36.79%40.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.472.502.6243.86%40.42%40.00%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Union Santa Fe (Visitante)
Predicción 29.37%3.40momio equitativo
EV +5.74%
Ventaja +1.59%
Kelly +2.21%
Crecimiento +0.127%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.19%29.24%29.36%31.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.203.203.6036.36%31.28%31.25%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.80%2.96momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.57%33.78%33.85%35.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.742.752.8539.22%36.47%36.36%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV +5.74%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.127% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.68%EV -12.36%E -5.19%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV +4.27%E +1.20%K +1.68%G +0.072% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV +4.27%E +1.20%K +1.68%G +0.072% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -15.31%E -6.66%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV +1.34%E +0.387%K +0.545%G +0.007% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -15.31%E -6.66%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV +1.34%E +0.387%K +0.545%G +0.007% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.75%EV -4.63%E -1.79%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -0.133%E -0.039%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.75%EV -4.63%E -1.79%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -0.133%E -0.039%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.51%EV -16.04%E -7.04%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -0.133%E -0.039%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.23%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV -1.31%E -0.389%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.96%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.62%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.99%EV -2.78%E -0.839%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.39%EV -5.69%E -2.04%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.07%E -0.931%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 19:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 16:20 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 19:54 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 20:04 |
| BetAnything | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.85%EV -6.84%E -2.70%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -7.38%E -2.69%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 20:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 20:04 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 19:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%EV -6.02%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Betsson | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%EV -6.02%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 19:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 16:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 20:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 20:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.45%EV -14.57%E -6.28%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -13.80%E -5.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-11 19:39 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -12.36%E -5.19%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.50%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.01%EV -12.47%E -4.18%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.49%EV -9.74%E -3.65%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 19:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-11 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.65%EV -16.29%E -5.72%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.96%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-11 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -19.23%E -6.99%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -11.09%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 20:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.23% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.98% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |