L’École des cotes

Estudiantes v Union Santa Fe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 20:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Estudiantes (Local)

Prévision 36.82%2.72cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.90%36.98%36.79%40.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.282.472.502.6243.86%40.42%40.00%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Union Santa Fe (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.37%3.40cote équitable
EV +5.74%
Avantage +1.59%
Kelly +2.21%
Croissance +0.127%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.19%29.24%29.36%31.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.203.203.6036.36%31.28%31.25%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.80%2.96cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.57%33.78%33.85%35.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.742.752.8539.22%36.47%36.36%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV +5.74%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.127%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 20:10
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.68%EV -12.36%E -5.19%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV +4.27%E +1.20%K +1.68%G +0.072%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:10
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV +4.27%E +1.20%K +1.68%G +0.072%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 19:59
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -15.31%E -6.66%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV +1.34%E +0.387%K +0.545%G +0.007%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 20:09
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -15.31%E -6.66%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV +1.34%E +0.387%K +0.545%G +0.007%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 20:10
LowVig.ag2.59I 38.61%NM 36.75%EV -4.63%E -1.79%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -0.133%E -0.039%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:55
BetOnline.ag2.59I 38.61%NM 36.75%EV -4.63%E -1.79%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -0.133%E -0.039%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.51%EV -16.04%E -7.04%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -0.133%E -0.039%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.99%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 20:09
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.23%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV -1.31%E -0.389%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.96%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 20:00
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.62%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.99%EV -2.78%E -0.839%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.39%EV -5.69%E -2.04%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.07%E -0.931%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:40
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 16:20
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 19:54
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.54%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 20:10
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 20:04
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 15:00
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.85%EV -6.84%E -2.70%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -7.38%E -2.69%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 20:05
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 20:04
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.01%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 19:39
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%EV -6.02%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:00
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.48%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%EV -6.02%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:04
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 19:59
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 19:54
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 20:00
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 16:19
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 20:09
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 20:05
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 20:04
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 20:10
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.45%EV -14.57%E -6.28%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -10.41%E -3.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -13.80%E -5.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 19:39
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -12.36%E -5.19%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.88%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 20:04
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.50%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.01%EV -12.47%E -4.18%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.49%EV -9.74%E -3.65%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 19:54
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -13.35%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.65%EV -16.29%E -5.72%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.96%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-11 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -19.23%E -6.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -11.09%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-04-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-04-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-04-11 20:10
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-04-11 20:05
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.23%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.98%1.7%2026-04-11 20:10
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%2.1%2026-04-11 20:10