The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Estudiantes v Racing Club

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 20:00 UTC

Final: Estudiantes 0–1 Racing Club

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes (Local)

Prediction 39.74%2.52fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.30%39.85%39.78%42.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.302.352.4547.62%43.44%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Racing Club (Visit)

Prediction 27.82%3.59fair odd
EV -0.967%
Edge -0.272%
Kelly -0.378%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%27.84%27.79%28.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.353.5632.26%30.03%29.85%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.45%3.08fair odd
EV +0.580%
Edge +0.187%
Kelly +0.276%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.23%32.31%32.42%34.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.872.853.1040.00%34.84%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes (Local): 39.74%; Racing Club (Visit): 27.82%; Draw: 32.45%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.580%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -12.58%E -5.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.64%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.580%E +0.187%K +0.276%G +0.002%6.3%2026-05-10 19:39
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -12.58%E -5.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.64%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.580%E +0.187%K +0.276%G +0.002%6.3%2026-05-10 19:39
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -13.37%E -6.13%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.64%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +0.580%E +0.187%K +0.276%G +0.002%6.7%2026-05-10 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.51%EV -2.02%E -0.667%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.51%EV -2.02%E -0.667%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:20
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.66%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 17:20
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -2.66%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -15.76%E -7.43%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -2.66%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 19:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -15.76%E -7.43%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -2.66%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 19:39
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.63%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -4.29%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -16.55%E -7.88%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -4.29%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 19:39
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67%EV -3.04%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.19%EV -0.967%E -0.272%K -0.378%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.15%EV -5.26%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 19:54
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.68%EV -3.84%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.20%EV -1.80%E -0.510%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.11%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 19:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.82%E -2.46%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 19:49
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 19:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.59%E -4.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 19:45
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 19:39
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 19:33
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 19:54
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.37%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 19:45
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -8.50%E -3.02%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 19:49
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -8.50%E -3.02%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 19:49
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.63%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 19:55
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 19:45
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 19:49
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.01%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -5.97%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -9.48%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.25%EV -11.78%E -5.31%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.26%EV -10.13%E -3.66%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 19:40
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.63%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 19:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.59%E -4.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 19:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -12.58%E -5.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 19:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.21%EV -13.77%E -6.35%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -12.37%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.08%EV -11.75%E -4.32%K -6.83%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-10 19:49
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -10.59%E -4.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-10 19:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -14.57%E -6.77%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -12.37%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-10 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.42%EV -10.59%E -4.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -18.89%E -7.55%K -12.59%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-10 19:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.49%0.9%2026-05-10 19:54
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%1.2%2026-05-10 19:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46%1.6%2026-05-10 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46%1.6%2026-05-10 19:54
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.25%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.83%1.9%2026-05-10 19:54