A Escola das Odds

Estudiantes v Racing Club

Início: 2026-05-10 20:00 UTC

Final: Estudiantes 0–1 Racing Club

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Estudiantes (Local)

Previsão 39.74%2.52odd justa
EV -2.65%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.30%39.85%39.78%42.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.302.352.4547.62%43.44%42.55%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Racing Club (Visitante)

Previsão 27.82%3.59odd justa
EV -0.967%
Vantagem -0.272%
Kelly -0.378%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.76%27.84%27.79%28.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.333.353.5632.26%30.03%29.85%28.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.45%3.08odd justa
EV +0.580%
Vantagem +0.187%
Kelly +0.276%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.23%32.31%32.42%34.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.872.853.1040.00%34.84%35.09%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -12.58%E -5.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.64%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.580%E +0.187%K +0.276%G +0.002%6.3%2026-05-10 19:39
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -12.58%E -5.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.64%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.580%E +0.187%K +0.276%G +0.002%6.3%2026-05-10 19:39
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.99%EV -13.37%E -6.13%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -2.64%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +0.580%E +0.187%K +0.276%G +0.002%6.7%2026-05-10 19:40
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.51%EV -2.02%E -0.667%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:20
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.51%EV -2.02%E -0.667%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:20
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.66%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 17:20
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -2.66%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -15.76%E -7.43%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -2.66%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 19:39
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -15.76%E -7.43%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -2.66%E -0.888%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 19:39
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -4.63%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -4.29%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -16.55%E -7.88%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -4.29%E -1.45%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-10 19:39
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67%EV -3.04%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.19%EV -0.967%E -0.272%K -0.378%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.15%EV -5.26%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 19:54
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.68%EV -3.84%E -1.59%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.20%EV -1.80%E -0.510%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.11%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 19:54
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.82%E -2.46%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 19:49
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 19:44
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.59%E -4.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -5.91%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 19:45
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.56%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 19:39
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 19:33
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 19:54
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 19:44
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.37%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.53%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 19:45
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -8.50%E -3.02%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 19:49
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -8.50%E -3.02%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 19:49
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.63%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 19:55
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 19:45
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 19:49
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.15%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 19:34
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.01%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -5.97%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -9.48%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 19:55
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.25%EV -11.78%E -5.31%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.26%EV -10.13%E -3.66%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 19:40
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.63%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 19:55
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.59%E -4.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 19:34
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -12.58%E -5.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -10.78%E -3.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 19:44
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.21%EV -13.77%E -6.35%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -12.37%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.08%EV -11.75%E -4.32%K -6.83%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-10 19:49
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -10.59%E -4.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-10 19:34
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -14.57%E -6.77%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -12.37%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.12%EV -12.40%E -4.59%K -7.29%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-10 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.42%EV -10.59%E -4.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -18.89%E -7.55%K -12.59%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-10 19:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.49%0.9%2026-05-10 19:54
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60%1.2%2026-05-10 19:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46%1.6%2026-05-10 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46%1.6%2026-05-10 19:54
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.25%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.83%1.9%2026-05-10 19:54