The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Estudiantes v Lanus

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes (Local)

Prediction 45.88%2.18fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.06%45.92%45.93%47.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.002.012.1055.56%49.89%49.75%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lanus (Visit)

Prediction 22.10%4.52fair odd
EV +0.120%
Edge +0.026%
Kelly +0.034%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.83%22.10%22.07%23.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.194.204.5326.67%23.85%23.81%22.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.02%3.12fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.769%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.00%31.99%32.00%32.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.872.903.0539.22%34.79%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes (Local): 45.88%; Lanus (Visit): 22.10%; Draw: 32.02%. For Lanus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.120%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.07%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.36%EV +0.120%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.57%EV -4.91%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -0.543%E -0.121%K -0.155%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.39%EV -5.87%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.45%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -0.543%E -0.121%K -0.155%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.39%EV -5.87%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 22:55
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -0.543%E -0.121%K -0.155%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 22:54
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.75%E -0.626%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.55%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -2.75%E -0.626%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.55%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 22:54
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.89%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -2.75%E -0.626%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -5.55%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 22:46
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -2.75%E -0.626%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.39%EV -8.11%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 22:55
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.39%EV -5.03%E -2.43%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.92%EV -3.20%E -0.730%K -0.945%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.69%EV -2.99%E -0.985%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%EV -3.86%E -0.887%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.34%E -0.769%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 22:30
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -4.30%E -0.993%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.80%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 22:04
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.96%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -7.32%E -3.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -4.96%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.08%EV -6.83%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.66%EV -10.53%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -6.07%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.66%EV -10.53%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -6.07%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 22:55
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -5.55%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 22:54
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -5.55%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 22:54
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -6.51%E -2.23%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 22:54
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -6.51%E -2.23%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 22:00
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 22:10
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 20:24
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.53%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-13 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.93%EV -11.91%E -6.20%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -7.17%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 22:54
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 21:59
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 22:55
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.93%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 22:55
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 22:55
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -5.95%E -2.90%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 22:54
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -10.53%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%EV -11.95%E -4.35%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-13 22:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.90%EV -12.83%E -6.75%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.80%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.30%EV -13.55%E -5.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-13 22:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.38%EV -12.37%E -6.48%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -15.79%E -6.00%K -9.69%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-13 22:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.53%EV -10.07%E -5.14%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.59%EV -12.70%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -10.07%E -5.14%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.68%EV -13.14%E -3.34%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-13 22:38
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -8.24%E -4.12%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -7.15%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 21:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.14%EV -17.42%E -9.68%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.29%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.57%EV -18.35%E -7.20%K -11.84%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-13 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.24%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -17.12%E -4.57%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-13 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-03-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-03-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-03-13 22:54
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-03-13 22:40
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.83%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%1.7%2026-03-13 22:55
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%2.1%2026-03-13 22:55